F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

V

Visa Inc.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

V has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

V Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

V's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like V.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

V PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x54x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x27x40x54x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward28x$420—
Cheap30x$371-12%
Fair33x$402-4.4%
Current34x$420—
Expensive38x$474+13%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

V's PE is in its fair range at 34x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

V Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

V has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails V on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

V Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$482.78
Downside-10%$377.72

Calculated from the latest close: $420.31 on Nov 12.

V has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

V Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.69Q1 2024: $8.95Q2 2024: $9.35Q3 2024: $9.73Q4 2024: $9.92Q1 2025: $9.95Q2 2025: $10.24Q3 2025: $10.21Q4 2025: $10.66Q1 2026: $11.48Q2 2026: $11.76Q3 2026: $12.32Forward: $15.01
Q4 2023: $8.69Q1 2024: $8.95Q2 2024: $9.35Q3 2024: $9.73Q4 2024: $9.92Q1 2025: $9.95Q2 2025: $10.24Q3 2025: $10.21Q4 2025: $10.66Q1 2026: $11.48Q2 2026: $11.76Q3 2026: $12.32Forward: $15.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.01+22%
Q3 2026$12.32+21%
Q2 2026$11.76+15%
Q1 2026$11.48+15%
Q4 2025$10.66+7.5%
Q3 2025$10.21+4.9%
Q2 2025$10.24+9.5%
Q1 2025$9.95+11%
Q4 2024$9.92+14%

V has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

V Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.6BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $8.9BQ3 2024: $9.6BQ4 2024: $9.5BQ1 2025: $9.6BQ2 2025: $10.2BQ3 2025: $10.7BQ4 2025: $10.9BQ1 2026: $11.2BQ2 2026: $11.6BQ3 2026: $12.1B
Q4 2023: $8.6BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $8.9BQ3 2024: $9.6BQ4 2024: $9.5BQ1 2025: $9.6BQ2 2025: $10.2BQ3 2025: $10.7BQ4 2025: $10.9BQ1 2026: $11.2BQ2 2026: $11.6BQ3 2026: $12.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.1B+13%
Q2 2026$11.6B+14%
Q1 2026$11.2B+17%
Q4 2025$10.9B+15%
Q3 2025$10.7B+12%
Q2 2025$10.2B+14%
Q1 2025$9.6B+9.3%
Q4 2024$9.5B+10%

V has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

V Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $6.4BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.8BQ4 2025: $6.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $6.1BQ3 2026: $6.9B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $4.3BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $6.4BQ4 2024: $5.1BQ1 2025: $4.4BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.8BQ4 2025: $6.4BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $6.1BQ3 2026: $6.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.9B+18%
Q2 2026$6.1B-2.7%
Q1 2026$2.6B-40%
Q4 2025$6.4B+27%
Q3 2025$5.8B-8%
Q2 2025$6.3B+33%
Q1 2025$4.4B+2.6%
Q4 2024$5.1B+51%

V's free cash flow was $22.1B over the past year, up 2.2% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like V.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

V Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2BQ4 2024: 2BQ1 2025: 2BQ2 2025: 2BQ3 2025: 1.9BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.9BQ2 2026: 1.9BQ3 2026: 1.8B
Q4 2023: 2BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2BQ4 2024: 2BQ1 2025: 2BQ2 2025: 2BQ3 2025: 1.9BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.9BQ2 2026: 1.9BQ3 2026: 1.8B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-7%-136M shares
1 year-7.6%-148M shares
3 years-13%-268M shares
5 years-17%-378M shares
Available history-20%-443M shares

V has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over V on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

V Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

V's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like V.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

V Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI73.7Overbought
Stochastic82.0Overbought

V's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

V PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricVSector medianRelative
PE34x13x162% above
PE %62631 pt below

V is trading at 34x earnings, a 162% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

V Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$397.65.7% above
20 week MA$378.311% above
50 week MA$346.021% above
100 week MA$343.722% above
200 week MA$300.640% above

V has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

V Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$189.4$208.7+10%
2021$208.7$216.6+3.8%
2022$216.6$205.8-5%
2023$205.8$260.4+26%
2024$260.4$318.7+22%
2025$318.7$355.0+11%
2026 YTD$355.0$420.3+18%

V has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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