F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

TCOM

Trip.com Group Limited

54
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

TCOM has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

TCOM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Strong

TCOM's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TCOM PE Valuation

TCOM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TCOM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TCOM, with profitability holding steady.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TCOM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TCOM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$55.40
Downside-21%$33.95

Calculated from the latest close: $43.21 on Nov 12.

TCOM trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

TCOM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.39Q4 2023: $2.21Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $3.11Q3 2024: $3.57Q4 2024: $3.75Q1 2025: $3.70Q2 2025: $3.91Q3 2025: $6.72Q4 2025: $7.16Q1 2026: $6.79Q2 2026: $5.16
Q3 2023: $2.39Q4 2023: $2.21Q1 2024: $2.42Q2 2024: $3.11Q3 2024: $3.57Q4 2024: $3.75Q1 2025: $3.70Q2 2025: $3.91Q3 2025: $6.72Q4 2025: $7.16Q1 2026: $6.79Q2 2026: $5.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$5.16+32%
Q1 2026$6.79+84%
Q4 2025$7.16+91%
Q3 2025$6.72+88%
Q2 2025$3.91+26%
Q1 2025$3.70+53%
Q4 2024$3.75+70%
Q3 2024$3.57+49%

TCOM has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

TCOM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.4B
Q3 2023: $2.1BQ4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.4BQ2 2026: $2.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.4B+5.5%
Q1 2026$2.4B+16%
Q4 2025$2.3B+19%
Q3 2025$2.8B+16%
Q2 2025$2.2B+16%
Q1 2025$2.1B+16%
Q4 2024$1.9B+23%
Q3 2024$2.4B+16%

TCOM has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over TCOM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TCOM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $304MQ2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $8MQ4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $304MQ2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $2BQ1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$2B+$2B
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0-100%
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0-100%

TCOM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2B over the past year, against $0 the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

TCOM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 674MQ4 2023: 668MQ1 2024: 676MQ2 2024: 688MQ3 2024: 688MQ4 2024: 698MQ1 2025: 702MQ2 2025: 696MQ3 2025: 695MQ4 2025: 700MQ1 2026: 682MQ2 2026: 632M
Q3 2023: 674MQ4 2023: 668MQ1 2024: 676MQ2 2024: 688MQ3 2024: 688MQ4 2024: 698MQ1 2025: 702MQ2 2025: 696MQ3 2025: 695MQ4 2025: 700MQ1 2026: 682MQ2 2026: 632M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-7.2%-49.3M shares
1 year-9.1%-63.4M shares
3 years-5.9%-39.6M shares
5 years-0.5%-3.1M shares
Available history+5.1%+30.7M shares

TCOM has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over TCOM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TCOM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.9x
Q3 2023: 0.9xQ4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.4xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 20240.2xVery low

TCOM has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

TCOM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.3Neutral
Stochastic49.2Neutral

TCOM's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TCOM PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTCOMSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

TCOM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

TCOM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.46.9% above
20 week MA$42.22.4% above
50 week MA$50.715% below
100 week MA$58.126% below
200 week MA$50.615% below

TCOM has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over TCOM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TCOM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.6$32.0-7.6%
2021$32.0$23.8-26%
2022$23.8$34.0+43%
2023$34.0$36.0+5.9%
2024$36.0$70.6+96%
2025$70.6$72.5+2.7%
2026 YTD$72.5$43.2-40%

TCOM is down 40% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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