F
Ford Motor Company
F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SON
Sonoco Products Company
SON has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
SON Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Weak |
SON's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SON PE Valuation
SON has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
F has the edge over SON on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
SON Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SON's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
SON Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.61 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$2.30 | -137% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.29 | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.20 | +562% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.07 | +510% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.30 | +116% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.58 | +50% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.54 | -61% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.65 | -66% |
SON has the edge over F on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F has the edge over SON on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SON Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | -4.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9B | -1.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | -1.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.8B | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1B | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | +4.4% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.4B | -17% |
SON has the edge over F on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -31% | -40 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | +1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.6% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 29% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.2% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9.2% | +0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.4% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | -4% | -12 points |
SON's operating margin was −31% last quarter, down 40 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
SON Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $221.9M | -1.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $236.9M | +140% |
| Q1 2026 | -$430M | -$129.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $322.3M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $225.6M | +220% |
| Q2 2025 | $98.6M | +516% |
| Q1 2025 | -$300.8M | -477% |
| Q4 2024 | $274.3M | +74% |
SON still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $351M over the past year.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
SON Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -279K shares |
| 1 year | -0.1% | -146K shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +590K shares |
| 5 years | +0.1% | +77K shares |
| Available history | -1.7% | -1.7M shares |
SON has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $181,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $57,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $7M |
| Q4 2025 | $350,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $4,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $3,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $10.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $74,000 |
SON spent $8M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 29% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over SON on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SON Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 5.3x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 9.3x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 9.4x | High |
SON's net debt is about 5.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.3 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
SON Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 22.6 | Neutral |
SON's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SON PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SON | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.9x | 18x | 56% below |
| PE % | 15 | 47 | 32 pts below |
SON has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
SON Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $49.5 | 1.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $53.1 | 8.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $51.3 | 5% below |
| 100 week MA | $48.3 | 0.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $52.3 | 6.8% below |
SON has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
SON Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $61.3 | $59.4 | -3.1% |
| 2021 | $59.4 | $55.5 | -6.6% |
| 2022 | $55.5 | $60.4 | +8.9% |
| 2023 | $60.4 | $55.9 | -7.5% |
| 2024 | $55.9 | $48.9 | -12% |
| 2025 | $48.9 | $43.5 | -11% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.5 | $48.7 | +12% |
SON has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.