F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SMP

Standard Motor Products, Inc.

69
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation65/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

SMP has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

SMP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

SMP's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SMP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.2x16x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.2x16x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.2x$43.95—
Cheap13x$39.94-9.1%
Current14x$43.95—
Fair18x$54.47+24%
Expensive23x$68.65+56%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SMP's PE is in its cheap range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.2x next year's earnings.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SMP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMP's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails SMP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SMP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$58.48
Downside-15%$37.27

Calculated from the latest close: $43.95 on Nov 12.

SMP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

SMP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.75Q3 2024: $1.62Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.41Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.41Q4 2025: $1.84Q1 2026: $2.03Q2 2026: $2.23Q3 2026: $3.04Forward: $4.80
Q4 2023: $1.54Q1 2024: $1.39Q2 2024: $1.75Q3 2024: $1.62Q4 2024: $1.24Q1 2025: $1.41Q2 2025: $1.77Q3 2025: $1.41Q4 2025: $1.84Q1 2026: $2.03Q2 2026: $2.23Q3 2026: $3.04Forward: $4.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.80+58%
Q3 2026$3.04+116%
Q2 2026$2.23+26%
Q1 2026$2.03+44%
Q4 2025$1.84+48%
Q3 2025$1.41-13%
Q2 2025$1.77+1.1%
Q1 2025$1.41+1.4%
Q4 2024$1.24-19%

SMP has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $331MQ2 2024: $390MQ3 2024: $399MQ4 2024: $343MQ1 2025: $413MQ2 2025: $494MQ3 2025: $499MQ4 2025: $385MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $502MQ3 2026: $508M
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $331MQ2 2024: $390MQ3 2024: $399MQ4 2024: $343MQ1 2025: $413MQ2 2025: $494MQ3 2025: $499MQ4 2025: $385MQ1 2026: $451MQ2 2026: $502MQ3 2026: $508M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$507.8M+1.8%
Q2 2026$501.6M+1.6%
Q1 2026$451.2M+9.1%
Q4 2025$385.1M+12%
Q3 2025$498.8M+25%
Q2 2025$493.9M+27%
Q1 2025$413.4M+25%
Q4 2024$343.4M+18%

SMP has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

SMP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $711,000Q1 2024: −$56MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: −$69MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: −$38MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $140M
Q4 2023: $711,000Q1 2024: −$56MQ2 2024: $23MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: −$69MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: −$38MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: $92MQ3 2026: $140M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$140.3M+72%
Q2 2026$92M+108%
Q1 2026-$48.7M+$20.7M
Q4 2025-$37.6M-$26.2M
Q3 2025$81.5M+5.7%
Q2 2025$44.2M+94%
Q1 2025-$69.4M-$13.6M
Q4 2024-$11.4M-1702%

SMP generated $146M in free cash flow over the past year, about three times what it generated the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over SMP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 22MQ1 2024: 22MQ2 2024: 22MQ3 2024: 22MQ4 2024: 22MQ1 2025: 22MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+102K shares
1 year+1.8%+395K shares
3 years+3.2%+713K shares
5 years+1.9%+423K shares
Available history+0.6%+148K shares

SMP has 23M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over SMP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SMP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 1.9x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 1.6xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.0xQ1 2026: 3.1xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.9xHealthy
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20263.1xElevated
Q4 20253.0xElevated
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20254.0xElevated
Q1 20254.8xHigh
Q4 20244.6xHigh

SMP's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

SMP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.5Neutral
Stochastic79.6Neutral

SMP's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SMP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSMPSector medianRelative
PE14x18x20% below
PE %244723 pts below

SMP is trading at 14x earnings, a 20% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

SMP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.611% above
20 week MA$39.013% above
50 week MA$38.813% above
100 week MA$35.723% above
200 week MA$35.225% above

SMP has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

SMP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$53.4$41.4-22%
2021$41.4$51.9+25%
2022$51.9$35.0-32%
2023$35.0$39.8+14%
2024$39.8$31.0-22%
2025$31.0$37.5+21%
2026 YTD$37.5$44.0+17%

SMP has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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