F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SIG

Signet Jewelers Limited

60
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

SIG has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

SIG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

SIG's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SIG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x105x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x105x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$58.67-50%
Forward9.2x$118—
Fair10x$87.57-26%
Expensive14x$118+0.1%
Current14x$118—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SIG's PE is in its expensive range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.2x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SIG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SIG's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails SIG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SIG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$160.34
Downside-23%$90.46

Calculated from the latest close: $118.22 on Nov 12.

SIG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

SIG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.59Q1 2024: $15.01Q2 2024: $12.32Q3 2024: $8.66Q4 2024: $8.71Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $2.93Q4 2025: $3.30Q1 2026: $7.08Q2 2026: $7.08Q3 2026: $8.63Forward: $12.80
Q4 2023: $8.59Q1 2024: $15.01Q2 2024: $12.32Q3 2024: $8.66Q4 2024: $8.71Q1 2025: $-0.81Q2 2025: $0.87Q3 2025: $2.93Q4 2025: $3.30Q1 2026: $7.08Q2 2026: $7.08Q3 2026: $8.63Forward: $12.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.80+48%
Q3 2026$8.63+195%
Q2 2026$7.08+714%
Q1 2026$7.08+$7.89
Q4 2025$3.30-62%
Q3 2025$2.93-66%
Q2 2025$0.87-93%
Q1 2025-$0.81-105%
Q4 2024$8.71+1.4%

SIG has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over SIG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SIG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-0.5%
Q2 2026$1.6B+0.8%
Q1 2026$2.3B-0.3%
Q4 2025$1.4B+3.1%
Q3 2025$1.5B+3%
Q2 2025$1.5B+2%
Q1 2025$2.4B-5.8%
Q4 2024$1.3B-3.1%

SIG's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $1.5B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over SIG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SIG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $716MQ2 2024: −$182MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: −$139MQ1 2025: $742MQ2 2025: −$212MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $676MQ2 2026: −$169MQ3 2026: $31M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $716MQ2 2024: −$182MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: −$139MQ1 2025: $742MQ2 2025: −$212MQ3 2025: $62MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: $676MQ2 2026: −$169MQ3 2026: $31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$30.8M-51%
Q2 2026-$169.2M+$42.7M
Q1 2026$676.4M-8.9%
Q4 2025-$1.5M+$137M
Q3 2025$62.3M+294%
Q2 2025-$211.9M-$30.4M
Q1 2025$742.1M+3.6%
Q4 2024-$138.5M-1089%

SIG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $537M over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

SIG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 54MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 44MQ2 2025: 43MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-1.1M shares
1 year-4.4%-1.8M shares
3 years-28%-15M shares
5 years-24%-12.7M shares
Available history-24%-12.5M shares

SIG has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over SIG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SIG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -0.8xQ3 2024: -0.8xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.0xQ3 2025: -0.8xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -1.6xQ2 2026: -1.1xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 20240.2xVery low

SIG has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

SIG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic80.9Overbought

SIG's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SIG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSIGSector medianRelative
PE14x18x24% below
PE %834736 pts above

SIG is trading at 14x earnings, a 24% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

SIG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$112.15.5% above
20 week MA$98.919% above
50 week MA$92.428% above
100 week MA$84.141% above
200 week MA$84.540% above

SIG has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

SIG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.0$26.2+25%
2021$26.2$83.5+219%
2022$83.5$68.1-19%
2023$68.1$107.3+58%
2024$107.3$82.0-24%
2025$82.0$85.2+4%
2026 YTD$85.2$118.2+39%

SIG has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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