F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SGHC

Super Group (SGHC) Limited

72
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

SGHC has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

SGHC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Strong

SGHC's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SGHC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x277x415x553x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE138x277x415x553x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.6x$4.10-64%
Forward13x$11.42—
Current16x$11.42—
Fair23x$16.77+47%
Expensive52x$37.98+233%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SGHC's PE is in its fair range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SGHC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

SGHC has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails SGHC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SGHC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$17.84
Downside-16%$9.58

Calculated from the latest close: $11.42 on Nov 12.

SGHC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

SGHC Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.10Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.08Q2 2024: $0.02Q3 2024: $0.02Q4 2024: $0.26Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.28Q3 2025: $0.46Q4 2025: $0.44Q1 2026: $0.48Q2 2026: $0.73Forward: $0.87
Q3 2023: $0.10Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.08Q2 2024: $0.02Q3 2024: $0.02Q4 2024: $0.26Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.28Q3 2025: $0.46Q4 2025: $0.44Q1 2026: $0.48Q2 2026: $0.73Forward: $0.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.87+19%
Q2 2026$0.73+161%
Q1 2026$0.48+66%
Q4 2025$0.44+69%
Q3 2025$0.46+2200%
Q2 2025$0.28+1300%
Q1 2025$0.29+262%
Q4 2024$0.26+$0.28
Q3 2024$0.02-80%

SGHC has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

SGHC Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $396MQ4 2023: $400MQ1 2024: $458MQ2 2024: $461MQ3 2024: $500MQ4 2024: $477MQ1 2025: $567MQ2 2025: $682MQ3 2025: $556MQ4 2025: $578MQ1 2026: $612MQ2 2026: $684M
Q3 2023: $396MQ4 2023: $400MQ1 2024: $458MQ2 2024: $461MQ3 2024: $500MQ4 2024: $477MQ1 2025: $567MQ2 2025: $682MQ3 2025: $556MQ4 2025: $578MQ1 2026: $612MQ2 2026: $684M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$684M+0.3%
Q1 2026$612M+8%
Q4 2025$578M+21%
Q3 2025$555.7M+11%
Q2 2025$681.7M+48%
Q1 2025$566.8M+24%
Q4 2024$476.5M+19%
Q3 2024$499.8M+26%

SGHC has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over SGHC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SGHC Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $241MQ2 2025: −$122MQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $164M
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $241MQ2 2025: −$122MQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $164M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$164M+$286.3M
Q1 2026$89M-63%
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$122.3M-$122.3M
Q1 2025$241M+$241M
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

SGHC generated $253M in free cash flow over the past year, up 113% from the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over SGHC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SGHC Total Shares

Q3 2023: 500MQ4 2023: 498MQ1 2024: 502MQ2 2024: 501MQ3 2024: 503MQ4 2024: 503MQ1 2025: 505MQ2 2025: 501MQ3 2025: 508MQ4 2025: 506MQ1 2026: 508MQ2 2026: 511M
Q3 2023: 500MQ4 2023: 498MQ1 2024: 502MQ2 2024: 501MQ3 2024: 503MQ4 2024: 503MQ1 2025: 505MQ2 2025: 501MQ3 2025: 508MQ4 2025: 506MQ1 2026: 508MQ2 2026: 511M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+2.8M shares
1 year+1.9%+9.3M shares
3 years+2.2%+11.2M shares
5 years+4.6%+22.4M shares

SGHC has 511M diluted shares, up 1.9% from a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over SGHC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SGHC Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.7xQ1 2024: -1.9xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.7x
Q3 2023: -1.7xQ4 2023: -2.7xQ1 2024: -1.9xQ2 2024: -2.1xQ3 2024: -1.8xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-1.8xNet Cash

SGHC has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

SGHC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.4Neutral
Stochastic19.2Oversold

SGHC's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SGHC PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricSGHCSector medianRelative
PE16x18x13% below
PE %344915 pts below

SGHC is trading at 16x earnings, a 13% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

SGHC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.21.6% above
20 week MA$12.811% below
50 week MA$12.04.6% below
100 week MA$10.86.1% above
200 week MA$7.1959% above

SGHC has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

SGHC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.73$10.2+4.6%
2021$10.2$9.96-2.2%
2022$9.96$2.96-70%
2023$2.96$3.17+7.1%
2024$3.17$6.10+92%
2025$6.10$11.9+95%
2026 YTD$11.9$11.4-4.2%

SGHC has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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