F
Ford Motor Company
F has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SBH
Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc.
SBH has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
SBH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
SBH's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SBH PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.1x | $12.33 | -33% |
| Fair | 7.9x | $15.93 | -13% |
| Forward | 8.2x | $18.41 | — |
| Current | 9.1x | $18.41 | — |
| Expensive | 9.8x | $19.70 | +7% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SBH's PE is in its expensive range at 9.1x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.2x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SBH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect SBH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
SBH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.26 | +12% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.02 | +6.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.92 | +3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.81 | +2.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.76 | +6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.89 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.85 | +34% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.77 | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.66 | +5.1% |
SBH has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
SBH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $952.5M | +0.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $935.5M | +0.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $903.4M | +2.3% |
| Q4 2025 | $943.2M | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $947.1M | +1.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $933.3M | -1% |
| Q1 2025 | $883.1M | -2.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $937.9M | +0.7% |
SBH's revenue has held roughly level: $953M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.7% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 9.2% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.1% | -2.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.4% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.9% | +1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | +3.3 points |
SBH has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
SBH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $46.9M | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $61.6M | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $44.1M | +37% |
| Q4 2025 | $57.5M | +329% |
| Q3 2025 | $78M | +6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $49.1M | +71% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.2M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.4M | -35% |
SBH has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
SBH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.9% | +902K shares |
| 1 year | -4.8% | -5M shares |
| 3 years | -9.6% | -10.5M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -15.4M shares |
| Available history | -16% | -18.3M shares |
SBH has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $41.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $25.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $25.6M |
| Q4 2025 | $20.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $20.7M |
| Q2 2025 | $13.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $10.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $9.9M |
SBH spent $114M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 111% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over SBH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
SBH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 2.0x | Healthy |
SBH's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.7 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
SBH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 65.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.0 | Neutral |
SBH's weekly RSI is 65 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SBH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | SBH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.1x | 18x | 49% below |
| PE % | 76 | 47 | 29 pts above |
SBH is trading at 9.1x earnings, a 49% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
SBH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $17.3 | 6.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $16.4 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $15.2 | 21% above |
| 100 week MA | $13.2 | 39% above |
| 200 week MA | $12.6 | 46% above |
SBH has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
SBH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $18.1 | $12.7 | -30% |
| 2021 | $12.7 | $18.6 | +47% |
| 2022 | $18.6 | $12.5 | -33% |
| 2023 | $12.5 | $13.3 | +6.4% |
| 2024 | $13.3 | $10.8 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.8 | $15.0 | +38% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.0 | $18.4 | +23% |
SBH has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.