F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over RRR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

RRR

Red Rock Resorts, Inc.

38
Fundamentals34/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

RRR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

RRR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Weak

RRR's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RRR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x35x47x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$23.83-52%
Fair18x$35.23-28%
Forward19x$49.19—
Expensive21x$40.91-17%
Current25x$49.19—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RRR's PE is in its expensive range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RRR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RRR, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RRR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RRR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$57.19
Downside-29%$34.70

Calculated from the latest close: $49.19 on Nov 12.

RRR trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RRR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.94Q1 2024: $2.87Q2 2024: $2.81Q3 2024: $2.69Q4 2024: $2.53Q1 2025: $2.60Q2 2025: $2.96Q3 2025: $3.16Q4 2025: $3.12Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $1.97Forward: $2.63
Q4 2023: $2.94Q1 2024: $2.87Q2 2024: $2.81Q3 2024: $2.69Q4 2024: $2.53Q1 2025: $2.60Q2 2025: $2.96Q3 2025: $3.16Q4 2025: $3.12Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $2.82Q3 2026: $1.97Forward: $2.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.63+34%
Q3 2026$1.97-38%
Q2 2026$2.82-4.7%
Q1 2026$3.10+19%
Q4 2025$3.12+23%
Q3 2025$3.16+17%
Q2 2025$2.96+5.3%
Q1 2025$2.60-9.4%
Q4 2024$2.53-14%

RRR has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

RRR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $463MQ1 2024: $489MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $468MQ4 2024: $496MQ1 2025: $498MQ2 2025: $526MQ3 2025: $476MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $507MQ2 2026: $510MQ3 2026: $489M
Q4 2023: $463MQ1 2024: $489MQ2 2024: $486MQ3 2024: $468MQ4 2024: $496MQ1 2025: $498MQ2 2025: $526MQ3 2025: $476MQ4 2025: $512MQ1 2026: $507MQ2 2026: $510MQ3 2026: $489M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$488.7M+2.8%
Q2 2026$510.3M-3%
Q1 2026$507.3M+1.9%
Q4 2025$511.8M+3.2%
Q3 2025$475.6M+1.6%
Q2 2025$526.3M+8.2%
Q1 2025$497.9M+1.8%
Q4 2024$495.7M+7.1%

RRR has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over RRR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RRR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: −$68M
Q4 2023: −$28MQ1 2024: $28MQ2 2024: $64MQ3 2024: $51MQ4 2024: $121MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $75MQ4 2025: $78MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $18MQ3 2026: −$68M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$67.7M-191%
Q2 2026$18.2M-77%
Q1 2026$22.6M-61%
Q4 2025$77.7M-36%
Q3 2025$74.6M+47%
Q2 2025$80.3M+25%
Q1 2025$58M+104%
Q4 2024$121.4M+$149.4M

RRR usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$68M, but it generated $51M over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

RRR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 103MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 58M
Q4 2023: 103MQ1 2024: 104MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 104MQ1 2025: 103MQ2 2025: 103MQ3 2025: 103MQ4 2025: 103MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 58M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-740K shares
1 year-43%-44.6M shares
3 years-44%-45.1M shares
5 years-50%-58.4M shares
Available history-17%-11.5M shares

RRR has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over RRR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RRR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.6xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 5.3x
Q4 2023: 4.6xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 4.4xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.1xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 5.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.3xHigh
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20264.3xHigh
Q4 20254.1xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q1 20254.3xHigh
Q4 20244.3xHigh

RRR's net debt is about 5.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.1 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

RRR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.5Neutral
Stochastic11.4Oversold

RRR's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RRR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRRRSector medianRelative
PE25x18x39% above
PE %904743 pts above

RRR is trading at 25x earnings, a 39% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

RRR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$49.50.6% below
20 week MA$56.313% below
50 week MA$58.115% below
100 week MA$54.810% below
200 week MA$52.36% below

RRR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6% below its 200-week average.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over RRR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RRR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.0$25.5+6.4%
2021$25.5$52.7+106%
2022$52.7$40.1-24%
2023$40.1$53.3+33%
2024$53.3$46.2-13%
2025$46.2$62.7+36%
2026 YTD$62.7$49.2-22%

RRR has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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