F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over RGS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

RGS

Regis Corporation

42
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation17/ 100
Upside potential11/ 100
Risk potential96/ 100

RGS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

RGS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Stable
Under pressure

RGS's profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RGS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.2x6.4x9.6x13x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.2x6.4x9.6x13x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap0.5x$1.05-96%
Fair0.6x$1.27-95%
Expensive0.7x$1.39-94%
Current11x$23.55—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RGS's PE is in its expensive range at 11x.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RGS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for RGS to show an outlook.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RGS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RGS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$26.24
Downside-96%$1.00

Calculated from the latest close: $23.55 on Nov 12.

RGS trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RGS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.97Q2 2024: $38.34Q3 2024: $37.38Q4 2024: $39.66Q1 2025: $40.74Q2 2025: $46.10Q3 2025: $46.95Q4 2025: $44.40Q1 2026: $44.58Q2 2026: $2.41Q3 2026: $2.10
Q4 2023: $-1.77Q1 2024: $-1.97Q2 2024: $38.34Q3 2024: $37.38Q4 2024: $39.66Q1 2025: $40.74Q2 2025: $46.10Q3 2025: $46.95Q4 2025: $44.40Q1 2026: $44.58Q2 2026: $2.41Q3 2026: $2.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.10-96%
Q2 2026$2.41-95%
Q1 2026$44.58+9.4%
Q4 2025$44.40+12%
Q3 2025$46.95+26%
Q2 2025$46.10+20%
Q1 2025$40.74+$42.71
Q4 2024$39.66+$41.43

RGS has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

RGS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $59MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $54M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $49MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $47MQ1 2025: $57MQ2 2025: $60MQ3 2025: $59MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $52MQ2 2026: $56MQ3 2026: $54M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.3M-7.8%
Q2 2026$56M-7.3%
Q1 2026$52.4M-8%
Q4 2025$57.1M+22%
Q3 2025$59M+28%
Q2 2025$60.4M+22%
Q1 2025$57M+16%
Q4 2024$46.7M-8.5%

RGS has the edge over F on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

RGS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$326,000Q2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $891,000Q1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: −$4MQ1 2024: −$326,000Q2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $891,000Q1 2026: $5MQ2 2026: $4MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.1M+11%
Q2 2026$3.6M-42%
Q1 2026$4.8M-19%
Q4 2025$891K-48%
Q3 2025$1.9M+$3.2M
Q2 2025$6.2M+23%
Q1 2025$5.9M+$6.2M
Q4 2024$1.7M+$5.9M

RGS has burned cash in most quarters: $11M over the past year, down 28% from the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over RGS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RGS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+44K shares
1 year+5.1%+142K shares
3 years+24%+561K shares
5 years+59%+1.1M shares
Available history+63%+1.1M shares

RGS has 3M diluted shares, up 5.1% from a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over RGS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RGS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 8.2xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 4.7xQ4 2024: 5.2xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 8.2xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 4.7xQ4 2024: 5.2xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.1xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.2xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20254.1xHigh
Q1 20254.8xHigh
Q4 20245.2xHigh

RGS's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.5 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

RGS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.3Neutral
Stochastic35.1Neutral

RGS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RGS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRGSSector medianRelative
PE11x18x38% below
PE %924745 pts above

RGS is trading at 11x earnings, a 38% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

RGS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$27.815% below
20 week MA$27.715% below
50 week MA$26.511% below
100 week MA$24.85% below
200 week MA$21.211% above

RGS has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over RGS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RGS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$359.0$189.6-47%
2021$189.6$33.8-82%
2022$33.8$24.2-28%
2023$24.2$9.45-61%
2024$9.45$25.5+170%
2025$25.5$27.4+7.4%
2026 YTD$27.4$23.6-14%

RGS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +170% in 2024 to −82% in 2021. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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