F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RCL

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.

66
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

RCL has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

RCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Stable
Under pressure

RCL's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RCL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$276-14%
Forward16x$322—
Fair19x$327+1.6%
Current19x$322—
Expensive25x$427+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RCL's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RCL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

RCL has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails RCL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

RCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$434.95
Downside-22%$252.54

Calculated from the latest close: $321.99 on Nov 12.

RCL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.31Q1 2024: $7.85Q2 2024: $9.26Q3 2024: $9.82Q4 2024: $10.94Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $13.59Q3 2025: $15.12Q4 2025: $15.61Q1 2026: $16.39Q2 2026: $16.18Q3 2026: $16.89Forward: $19.91
Q4 2023: $6.31Q1 2024: $7.85Q2 2024: $9.26Q3 2024: $9.82Q4 2024: $10.94Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $13.59Q3 2025: $15.12Q4 2025: $15.61Q1 2026: $16.39Q2 2026: $16.18Q3 2026: $16.89Forward: $19.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.91+18%
Q3 2026$16.89+12%
Q2 2026$16.18+19%
Q1 2026$16.39+33%
Q4 2025$15.61+43%
Q3 2025$15.12+54%
Q2 2025$13.59+47%
Q1 2025$12.29+57%
Q4 2024$10.94+73%

RCL has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

RCL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $4.1BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $4.3BQ1 2026: $4.5BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.6B
Q4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $4.1BQ3 2024: $4.9BQ4 2024: $3.8BQ1 2025: $4BQ2 2025: $4.5BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $4.3BQ1 2026: $4.5BQ2 2026: $4.8BQ3 2026: $5.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.6B+8.8%
Q2 2026$4.8B+6.5%
Q1 2026$4.5B+11%
Q4 2025$4.3B+13%
Q3 2025$5.1B+5.2%
Q2 2025$4.5B+10%
Q1 2025$4B+7.3%
Q4 2024$3.8B+13%

RCL has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

RCL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.5BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: −$567MQ3 2024: $563MQ4 2024: $915MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $910MQ3 2025: −$989MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: −$877MQ3 2026: $937M
Q4 2023: −$1.5BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: −$567MQ3 2024: $563MQ4 2024: $915MQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $910MQ3 2025: −$989MQ4 2025: $116MQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: −$877MQ3 2026: $937M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$937M+$1.9B
Q2 2026-$877M-196%
Q1 2026$1.3B+11%
Q4 2025$116M-87%
Q3 2025-$989M-276%
Q2 2025$910M+$1.5B
Q1 2025$1.2B+10%
Q4 2024$915M+$2.4B

RCL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $1.5B over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

RCL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 283MQ1 2024: 281MQ2 2024: 281MQ3 2024: 264MQ4 2024: 279MQ1 2025: 276MQ2 2025: 275MQ3 2025: 274MQ4 2025: 274MQ1 2026: 271MQ2 2026: 268MQ3 2026: 268M
Q4 2023: 283MQ1 2024: 281MQ2 2024: 281MQ3 2024: 264MQ4 2024: 279MQ1 2025: 276MQ2 2025: 275MQ3 2025: 274MQ4 2025: 274MQ1 2026: 271MQ2 2026: 268MQ3 2026: 268M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-2.2%-6M shares
3 years-4.9%-13.9M shares
5 years+5.2%+13.3M shares
Available history+28%+58.1M shares

RCL has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over RCL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RCL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 4.8xQ1 2024: 4.2xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.5xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.2xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.2xElevated
Q2 20253.0xModerate
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20243.5xElevated

RCL's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.2 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

RCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.2Neutral
Stochastic83.5Overbought

RCL's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RCL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRCLSector medianRelative
PE19x18x5.8% above
PE %46471 pt below

RCL is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

RCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$289.211% above
20 week MA$288.112% above
50 week MA$287.512% above
100 week MA$279.315% above
200 week MA$201.860% above

RCL has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

RCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$133.3$70.7-47%
2021$70.7$79.5+13%
2022$79.5$49.8-37%
2023$49.8$129.5+160%
2024$129.5$232.7+80%
2025$232.7$285.7+23%
2026 YTD$285.7$322.0+13%

RCL has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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