F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RAVE

RAVE Restaurant Group, Inc.

55
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

RAVE has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

RAVE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

RAVE's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RAVE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE13x26x39x52x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.8x$0.95-55%
Current11x$2.11—
Fair14x$2.71+28%
Expensive17x$3.36+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RAVE's PE is in its cheap range at 11x.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RAVE Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for RAVE to show an outlook.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RAVE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RAVE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$2.81
Downside-25%$1.58

Calculated from the latest close: $2.11 on Nov 12.

RAVE trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RAVE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.15Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.18Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.19Q2 2025: $0.19Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.20Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.20Q3 2026: $0.20
Q4 2023: $0.13Q1 2024: $0.15Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.18Q4 2024: $0.18Q1 2025: $0.19Q2 2025: $0.19Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.20Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.20Q3 2026: $0.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.200%
Q2 2026$0.20+5.3%
Q1 2026$0.21+11%
Q4 2025$0.20+11%
Q3 2025$0.20+11%
Q2 2025$0.19+12%
Q1 2025$0.19+27%
Q4 2024$0.18+38%

RAVE has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

RAVE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $3MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3M+3.4%
Q2 2026$3.4M+8.8%
Q1 2026$3.2M+8.7%
Q4 2025$3M+6%
Q3 2025$3.2M+5.3%
Q2 2025$3.2M-6%
Q1 2025$3M+0.1%
Q4 2024$2.9M+2.8%

RAVE has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

RAVE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$339,000Q1 2024: $996,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $520,000Q4 2024: $651,000Q1 2025: $953,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $600,000Q4 2025: $297,000Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
Q4 2023: −$339,000Q1 2024: $996,000Q2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $520,000Q4 2024: $651,000Q1 2025: $953,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $600,000Q4 2025: $297,000Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1M+88%
Q2 2026$1.5M+24%
Q1 2026$1.1M+16%
Q4 2025$297K-54%
Q3 2025$600K+15%
Q2 2025$1.2M-13%
Q1 2025$953K-4.3%
Q4 2024$651K+$990K

RAVE generated $4M in free cash flow over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over RAVE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RAVE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 14MQ4 2025: 14MQ1 2026: 14MQ2 2026: 14MQ3 2026: 14M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+118K shares
1 year+1%+145K shares
3 years-2.3%-340K shares
5 years-23%-4.4M shares
Available history-9.5%-1.5M shares

RAVE has 14M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over RAVE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

RAVE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -2.1xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.8xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.8xNet Cash

RAVE has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

RAVE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.9Oversold
Stochastic5.2Oversold

RAVE's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RAVE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricRAVESector medianRelative
PE11x18x41% below
PE %324715 pts below

RAVE is trading at 11x earnings, a 41% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

RAVE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.204.1% below
20 week MA$2.7624% below
50 week MA$2.8726% below
100 week MA$2.8325% below
200 week MA$2.4213% below

RAVE is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 13% below its 200-week average.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over RAVE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RAVE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.71$0.90-47%
2021$0.90$1.14+27%
2022$1.14$1.40+23%
2023$1.40$2.23+59%
2024$2.23$2.67+20%
2025$2.67$3.29+23%
2026 YTD$3.29$2.11-36%

RAVE is down 36% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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