F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

QSR

Restaurant Brands International Inc.

69
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

QSR has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

QSR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Weak

QSR's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QSR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x22x33x44x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$75.48—
Forward18x$75.48—
Cheap19x$82.16+8.8%
Fair23x$99.03+31%
Expensive28x$121+61%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QSR's PE is in its cheap range at 17.6x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 17.5x.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

QSR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect QSR's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails QSR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QSR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$90.37
Downside-12%$66.51

Calculated from the latest close: $75.48 on Nov 12.

QSR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

QSR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.76Q1 2024: $3.87Q2 2024: $3.98Q3 2024: $3.98Q4 2024: $3.18Q1 2025: $2.95Q2 2025: $2.64Q3 2025: $2.81Q4 2025: $2.35Q1 2026: $2.83Q2 2026: $3.71Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $4.30
Q4 2023: $3.76Q1 2024: $3.87Q2 2024: $3.98Q3 2024: $3.98Q4 2024: $3.18Q1 2025: $2.95Q2 2025: $2.64Q3 2025: $2.81Q4 2025: $2.35Q1 2026: $2.83Q2 2026: $3.71Q3 2026: $4.29Forward: $4.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.30+0.3%
Q3 2026$4.29+53%
Q2 2026$3.71+41%
Q1 2026$2.83-4.1%
Q4 2025$2.35-26%
Q3 2025$2.81-29%
Q2 2025$2.64-34%
Q1 2025$2.95-24%
Q4 2024$3.18-15%

QSR has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

QSR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.5B
Q4 2023: $1.8BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2.3BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.1BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.5BQ1 2026: $2.3BQ2 2026: $2.5BQ3 2026: $2.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.5B+3.1%
Q2 2026$2.5B+4.6%
Q1 2026$2.3B+7.3%
Q4 2025$2.5B+7.4%
Q3 2025$2.4B+6.9%
Q2 2025$2.4B+16%
Q1 2025$2.1B+21%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

QSR has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

QSR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $356MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $291MQ3 2024: $485MQ4 2024: $404MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $411MQ3 2025: $531MQ4 2025: $453MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $479M
Q4 2023: $356MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $291MQ3 2024: $485MQ4 2024: $404MQ1 2025: $54MQ2 2025: $411MQ3 2025: $531MQ4 2025: $453MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $479MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$479M-9.8%
Q2 2026$479M+17%
Q1 2026$169M+213%
Q4 2025$453M+12%
Q3 2025$531M+9.5%
Q2 2025$411M+41%
Q1 2025$54M-56%
Q4 2024$404M+13%

QSR has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

QSR Total Shares

Q1 2024: 453MQ2 2024: 453MQ3 2024: 454MQ1 2025: 456MQ2 2025: 457MQ3 2025: 457MQ1 2026: 459MQ2 2026: 460MQ3 2026: 457M
Q1 2024: 453MQ2 2024: 453MQ3 2024: 454MQ1 2025: 456MQ2 2025: 457MQ3 2025: 457MQ1 2026: 459MQ2 2026: 460MQ3 2026: 457M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-3M shares
1 year0%--
3 years+0.7%+3M shares
5 years-2.6%-12M shares

QSR has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over QSR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

QSR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.3xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: 5.0xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 4.9xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.2xQ3 2026: 4.2x
Q4 2023: 5.3xQ1 2024: 5.1xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: 5.0xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 4.9xQ4 2025: 4.8xQ1 2026: 4.6xQ2 2026: 4.2xQ3 2026: 4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.2xHigh
Q2 20264.2xHigh
Q1 20264.6xHigh
Q4 20254.8xHigh
Q3 20254.9xHigh
Q2 20255.2xHigh
Q1 20254.9xHigh
Q4 20244.6xHigh

QSR's net debt is about 4.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.9 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

QSR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.6Neutral
Stochastic48.0Neutral

QSR's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QSR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricQSRSector medianRelative
PE18x18x2.4% below
PE %74740 pts below

QSR is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

QSR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.52.7% above
20 week MA$75.00.6% above
50 week MA$73.82.3% above
100 week MA$69.98% above
200 week MA$70.57% above

QSR has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

QSR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.5$60.7-5.9%
2021$60.7$59.3-2.3%
2022$59.3$65.0+9.6%
2023$65.0$78.1+20%
2024$78.1$65.5-16%
2025$65.5$69.9+6.6%
2026 YTD$69.9$75.5+8%

QSR has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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