F
Ford Motor Company
F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
PTON
Peloton Interactive, Inc.
PTON has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
PTON Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
PTON's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PTON PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $5.53 | — |
| Current | 18x | $5.53 | — |
| Cheap | 39x | $11.63 | +110% |
| Fair | 178x | $53.35 | +865% |
| Expensive | 1,471x | $441 | +7883% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PTON's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PTON Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect PTON's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
PTON Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.32 | +7.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.30 | +$0.57 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.14 | +$0.44 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.06 | +$0.50 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.12 | +$0.65 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.27 | +$0.80 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.30 | +$1.21 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.44 | +$1.66 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.77 | +$1.67 |
PTON has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F has the edge over PTON on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
PTON Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $559.2M | +1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $607.7M | +0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $630.9M | +1.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $656.5M | -2.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $550.8M | -6% |
| Q2 2025 | $606.9M | -5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $624M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $673.9M | -9.4% |
PTON's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $559M last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 21% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +8.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.3% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | -2.2% | +4.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.5% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.9% | +15 points |
| Q1 2025 | -5.2% | +15 points |
| Q4 2024 | -6.8% | +18 points |
PTON has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
PTON Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $143.4M | +113% |
| Q2 2026 | $88.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2026 | $150.5M | +59% |
| Q4 2025 | $71M | -33% |
| Q3 2025 | $67.4M | +530% |
| Q2 2025 | $112.4M | +332% |
| Q1 2025 | $94.6M | +1000% |
| Q4 2024 | $106M | +$143.1M |
PTON has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has the edge over PTON on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
PTON Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +20% | +89.2M shares |
| 1 year | +22% | +95.4M shares |
| 3 years | +47% | +167M shares |
| 5 years | +74% | +224M shares |
| Available history | +88% | +245M shares |
PTON has 525M diluted shares, up 22% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over PTON on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
PTON Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 3.6x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 9.3x | High |
| Q1 2021 | -8.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -6.1x | Net Cash |
PTON has more cash than debt.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
PTON Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 43.7 | Neutral |
PTON's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PTON PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | PTON | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 2.3% above |
| PE % | 0 | 47 | 47 pts below |
PTON is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
PTON Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.23 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $5.47 | 1.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $5.39 | 2.6% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.38 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.45 | 14% below |
PTON has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
PTON Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $27.0 | $162.7 | +503% |
| 2021 | $162.7 | $38.6 | -76% |
| 2022 | $38.6 | $8.89 | -77% |
| 2023 | $8.89 | $6.09 | -31% |
| 2024 | $6.09 | $9.39 | +54% |
| 2025 | $9.39 | $6.06 | -35% |
| 2026 YTD | $6.06 | $5.53 | -8.7% |
PTON has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.