F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over PTLO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

PTLO

Portillo's Inc.

48
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

PTLO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

PTLO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

PTLO's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PTLO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$4.20-37%
Forward26x$6.68—
Fair27x$5.84-13%
Current30x$6.68—
Expensive64x$14.12+111%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PTLO's PE is in its fair range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PTLO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PTLO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PTLO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PTLO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$8.58
Downside-36%$4.28

Calculated from the latest close: $6.68 on Nov 12.

PTLO trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

PTLO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.32Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.39Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.46Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $0.22Forward: $0.25
Q4 2023: $0.32Q1 2024: $0.41Q2 2024: $0.39Q3 2024: $0.43Q4 2024: $0.46Q1 2025: $0.43Q2 2025: $0.45Q3 2025: $0.36Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $0.22Forward: $0.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.25+16%
Q3 2026$0.22-39%
Q2 2026$0.18-60%
Q1 2026$0.21-51%
Q4 2025$0.27-41%
Q3 2025$0.36-16%
Q2 2025$0.45+15%
Q1 2025$0.43+4.9%
Q4 2024$0.46+44%

PTLO has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

PTLO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $188MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $185MQ1 2025: $176MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $194M
Q4 2023: $188MQ1 2024: $166MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $178MQ4 2024: $185MQ1 2025: $176MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $186MQ1 2026: $183MQ2 2026: $199MQ3 2026: $194M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$194.1M+7%
Q2 2026$199M+5.6%
Q1 2026$182.6M+3.5%
Q4 2025$185.7M+0.6%
Q3 2025$181.4M+1.8%
Q2 2025$188.5M+3.6%
Q1 2025$176.4M+6.4%
Q4 2024$184.6M-1.7%

PTLO has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over PTLO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PTLO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$907,000Q2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $17M
Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$907,000Q2 2026: $6MQ3 2026: $17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$16.8M+$21.7M
Q2 2026$5.9M+13%
Q1 2026-$907K+$8.7M
Q4 2025-$9.2M-$3.6M
Q3 2025-$5M-164%
Q2 2025$5.2M-67%
Q1 2025-$9.6M-$1.7M
Q4 2024-$5.6M+$7.5M

PTLO's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $13M over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

PTLO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 60MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 66MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 71MQ1 2026: 72MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+262K shares
1 year-0.7%-541K shares
3 years+25%+14.7M shares
5 years+119%+39.9M shares

PTLO has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over PTLO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PTLO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 3.7xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.6xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 4.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20264.9xHigh
Q1 20264.8xHigh
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20253.6xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

PTLO's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

PTLO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.8Neutral
Stochastic85.6Overbought

PTLO's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PTLO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPTLOSector medianRelative
PE30x18x68% above
PE %59563 pts above

PTLO is trading at 30x earnings, a 68% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

PTLO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.7640% above
20 week MA$4.6444% above
50 week MA$4.9335% above
100 week MA$7.399.6% below
200 week MA$11.542% below

PTLO has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

PTLO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$37.4$38.3+2.4%
2022$38.3$17.2-55%
2023$17.2$15.9-7.3%
2024$15.9$8.98-44%
2025$8.98$4.71-48%
2026 YTD$4.71$6.68+42%

PTLO has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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