F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over ONEW overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

ONEW

OneWater Marine Inc.

48
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

ONEW offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

ONEW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

ONEW's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ONEW PE Valuation

ONEW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ONEW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect ONEW's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails ONEW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ONEW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$15.31
Downside-35%$6.36

Calculated from the latest close: $9.85 on Nov 12.

ONEW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

ONEW Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-2.76Q4 2023: $-3.86Q1 2024: $-5.69Q2 2024: $-6.65Q3 2024: $-0.40Q4 2024: $-0.72Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $-0.81Q3 2025: $-7.08Q4 2025: $-6.74Q1 2026: $-7.50Q2 2026: $-7.46Forward: $1.12
Q3 2023: $-2.76Q4 2023: $-3.86Q1 2024: $-5.69Q2 2024: $-6.65Q3 2024: $-0.40Q4 2024: $-0.72Q1 2025: $-0.47Q2 2025: $-0.81Q3 2025: $-7.08Q4 2025: $-6.74Q1 2026: $-7.50Q2 2026: $-7.46Forward: $1.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.12—
Q2 2026-$7.46-$6.65
Q1 2026-$7.50-$7.03
Q4 2025-$6.74-$6.02
Q3 2025-$7.08-$6.68
Q2 2025-$0.81+$5.84
Q1 2025-$0.47+$5.22
Q4 2024-$0.72+$3.14
Q3 2024-$0.40+$2.36

ONEW has the edge over F on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over ONEW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ONEW Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $451MQ4 2023: $364MQ1 2024: $488MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $378MQ4 2024: $376MQ1 2025: $484MQ2 2025: $553MQ3 2025: $460MQ4 2025: $381MQ1 2026: $442MQ2 2026: $531M
Q3 2023: $451MQ4 2023: $364MQ1 2024: $488MQ2 2024: $542MQ3 2024: $378MQ4 2024: $376MQ1 2025: $484MQ2 2025: $553MQ3 2025: $460MQ4 2025: $381MQ1 2026: $442MQ2 2026: $531M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$530.7M-4%
Q1 2026$442.3M-8.5%
Q4 2025$380.6M+1.3%
Q3 2025$460.1M+22%
Q2 2025$552.9M+1.9%
Q1 2025$483.5M-1%
Q4 2024$375.8M+3.2%
Q3 2024$377.9M-16%

ONEW's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $531M last quarter, down 4% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

ONEW Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$1MQ4 2023: −$115MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$40MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$78MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $78M
Q3 2023: −$1MQ4 2023: −$115MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$40MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $89MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: −$78MQ1 2026: $50MQ2 2026: $78M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$77.9M-12%
Q1 2026$50M+110%
Q4 2025-$78.4M-$38M
Q3 2025$7.2M-69%
Q2 2025$88.6M+2.1%
Q1 2025$23.8M+75%
Q4 2024-$40.4M+$75M
Q3 2024$23M+$24.2M

ONEW still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $57M over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over ONEW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ONEW Total Shares

Q3 2023: 14MQ4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17M
Q3 2023: 14MQ4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 16MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 17MQ1 2026: 17MQ2 2026: 17M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2%+340K shares
1 year+3.1%+510K shares
3 years+16%+2.3M shares
5 years+49%+5.6M shares
Available history+214%+11.6M shares

ONEW has 17M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has more cash than debt.

ONEW Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.3xQ4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 9.5xQ4 2024: 10.4xQ1 2025: 11.4xQ2 2025: 11.7x
Q3 2023: 5.3xQ4 2023: 6.5xQ1 2024: 7.5xQ2 2024: 8.1xQ3 2024: 9.5xQ4 2024: 10.4xQ1 2025: 11.4xQ2 2025: 11.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202511.7xHigh
Q1 202511.4xHigh
Q4 202410.4xHigh
Q3 20249.5xHigh
Q2 20248.1xHigh
Q1 20247.5xHigh
Q4 20236.5xHigh
Q3 20235.3xHigh

ONEW's net debt is about 12 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 8.1 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

ONEW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.3Neutral
Stochastic21.7Neutral

ONEW's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 22 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ONEW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricONEWSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

ONEW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

ONEW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.622.4% above
20 week MA$10.99.6% below
50 week MA$11.111% below
100 week MA$13.326% below
200 week MA$20.051% below

ONEW has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

ONEW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.1$29.8+97%
2021$29.8$53.2+79%
2022$53.2$28.2-47%
2023$28.2$33.8+20%
2024$33.8$17.7-47%
2025$17.7$10.6-41%
2026 YTD$10.6$9.85-6.6%

ONEW has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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