F
Ford Motor Company
F has the edge over NVR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.
NVR
NVR, Inc.
NVR trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
NVR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NVR's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $4,445 | -24% |
| Fair | 16x | $5,774 | -0.7% |
| Current | 16x | $5,814 | — |
| Forward | 17x | $5,814 | — |
| Expensive | 19x | $6,711 | +15% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVR's PE is in its fair range at 16x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 17x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
F has the edge over NVR on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
NVR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NVR's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
NVR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $338.23 | -6.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $362.02 | -20% |
| Q2 2026 | $384.90 | -19% |
| Q1 2026 | $409.48 | -16% |
| Q4 2025 | $436.55 | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $454.79 | -7% |
| Q2 2025 | $472.96 | -2.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $485.11 | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $506.69 | +9.4% |
NVR has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F has the edge over NVR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
NVR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B | -7.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.9B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.7B | -4.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6B | -4.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | -0.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +17% |
NVR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $2.4B last quarter, down 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -3.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 13% | -3.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 20% | +0.2 points |
NVR has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over NVR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NVR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $205.1M | -53% |
| Q2 2026 | -$157.7M | -688% |
| Q1 2026 | $334.8M | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $436M | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $433.3M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.8M | -88% |
| Q1 2025 | $200.7M | +46% |
| Q4 2024 | $631.5M | +29% |
NVR still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $818M over the past year.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
NVR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.3% | -37.3K shares |
| 1 year | -8.9% | -272K shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -679K shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -1.1M shares |
| Available history | -30% | -1.2M shares |
NVR has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $237.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $373.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $632M |
| Q4 2025 | $502.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $276.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $471.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $583.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $564.3M |
NVR spent $1.7B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 7.9% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over NVR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NVR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
NVR has more cash than debt.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
NVR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 46.9 | Neutral |
NVR's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NVR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 18x | 11% below |
| PE % | 53 | 47 | 6 pts above |
NVR is trading at 16x earnings, a 11% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
NVR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6,020.7 | 3.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $6,225.5 | 6.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $6,630.8 | 12% below |
| 100 week MA | $7,113.9 | 18% below |
| 200 week MA | $7,095.2 | 18% below |
NVR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 18% below its 200-week average.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F has the edge over NVR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NVR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $3,816.4 | $4,216.4 | +10% |
| 2021 | $4,216.4 | $5,784.6 | +37% |
| 2022 | $5,784.6 | $4,645.0 | -20% |
| 2023 | $4,645.0 | $7,000.5 | +51% |
| 2024 | $7,000.5 | $8,208.4 | +17% |
| 2025 | $8,208.4 | $7,382.2 | -10% |
| 2026 YTD | $7,382.2 | $5,814.3 | -21% |
NVR has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.