F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

NEGG

Newegg Commerce, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

NEGG has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

NEGG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Under pressure
Strong

NEGG's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and cash flow are under pressure.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NEGG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE474x947x1421x1895x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE474x947x1421x1895x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current19x$8.65—
Cheap61x$27.55+218%
Fair105x$47.21+446%
Expensive220x$98.94+1044%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NEGG's PE is in its cheap range at 19x.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NEGG Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NEGG to show an outlook.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails NEGG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NEGG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+104%$17.64
Downside-51%$4.26

Calculated from the latest close: $8.65 on Nov 12.

NEGG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NEGG Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-2.97Q2 2024: $-2.84Q3 2024: $-2.54Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-1.69Q2 2025: $-1.16Q3 2025: $-0.71Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $0.23Q2 2026: $0.45
Q1 2024: $-2.97Q2 2024: $-2.84Q3 2024: $-2.54Q4 2024: $-2.22Q1 2025: $-1.69Q2 2025: $-1.16Q3 2025: $-0.71Q4 2025: $-0.25Q1 2026: $0.23Q2 2026: $0.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.45+$1.61
Q1 2026$0.23+$1.92
Q4 2025-$0.25+$1.97
Q3 2025-$0.71+$1.83
Q2 2025-$1.16+$1.68
Q1 2025-$1.69+$1.28
Q1 2024-$2.97+$0.37
Q1 2023-$3.34-584%

NEGG has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NEGG Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $318MQ4 2023: $456MQ1 2024: $309MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $309MQ1 2025: $347MQ2 2025: $348MQ3 2025: $374MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $306MQ2 2026: $320M
Q3 2023: $318MQ4 2023: $456MQ1 2024: $309MQ2 2024: $309MQ3 2024: $309MQ4 2024: $309MQ1 2025: $347MQ2 2025: $348MQ3 2025: $374MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $306MQ2 2026: $320M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$320.4M-8.1%
Q1 2026$306.2M-12%
Q4 2025$374.4M+21%
Q3 2025$374.4M+21%
Q2 2025$348.5M+13%
Q1 2025$347.2M+12%
Q4 2024$308.7M-32%
Q3 2024$308.7M-2.8%

NEGG has the edge over F on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over NEGG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NEGG Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: $50MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$32MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$46MQ2 2026: $25M
Q3 2023: $18MQ4 2023: $50MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$32MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $11MQ1 2026: −$46MQ2 2026: $25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$24.9M+$80.3M
Q1 2026-$46.3M-1188%
Q4 2025$10.8M-64%
Q3 2025$10.8M-64%
Q2 2025-$55.5M-$23.3M
Q1 2025$4.3M+$36.5M
Q4 2024$30M-40%
Q3 2024$30M+70%

NEGG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $122,598 over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over NEGG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NEGG Total Shares

Q3 2023: 19MQ4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21M
Q3 2023: 19MQ4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 19MQ3 2024: 19MQ4 2024: 19MQ1 2025: 19MQ2 2025: 19MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+940 shares
1 year+7.6%+1.5M shares
3 years+11%+2M shares
5 years-1.4%-303K shares
Available history+16%+2.8M shares

NEGG has 21M diluted shares, up 7.6% from a year ago, despite $2M in buybacks over the past year.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over NEGG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NEGG Net Leverage

Q4 2025: -18.3xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -2.2x
Q4 2025: -18.3xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-18.3xNet Cash
Q1 20222.3xModerate
Q4 20210.2xVery low
Q3 2021-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2021-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2021-1.7xNet Cash

NEGG has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

NEGG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic4.6Oversold

NEGG's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NEGG PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNEGGSector medianRelative
PE19x18x7.5% above
PE %04747 pts below

NEGG is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

NEGG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.619% below
20 week MA$13.436% below
50 week MA$29.371% below
100 week MA$29.771% below
200 week MA$24.965% below

NEGG is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 65% below its 200-week average.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over NEGG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NEGG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$64.0$94.2+47%
2021$94.2$219.6+133%
2022$219.6$26.4-88%
2023$26.4$25.2-4.5%
2024$25.2$8.89-65%
2025$8.89$53.0+496%
2026 YTD$53.0$8.65-84%

NEGG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +496% in 2025 to −88% in 2022. It's down 84% so far in 2026.

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