F
Ford Motor Company
F has the edge over MPAA overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
MPAA
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.
MPAA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MPAA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure |
MPAA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MPAA PE Valuation
MPAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MPAA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MPAA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
MPAA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.61 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.16 | -233% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.24 | -400% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.62 | +$1.61 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.10 | +$1.00 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.12 | +$3.53 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.08 | +$3.44 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.99 | +$1.52 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.90 | +$1.59 |
MPAA has the edge over F on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MPAA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $169.2M | -24% |
| Q2 2026 | $168M | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $212.3M | +9.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $167.7M | -9.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $221.5M | +6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $188.4M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $193.1M | +1.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $186.2M | +8.3% |
MPAA has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.9% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1% | -8.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.9% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5% | -4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.4% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.4% | +2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.4% | +3.9 points |
MPAA has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over MPAA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MPAA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$4.8M | -123% |
| Q2 2026 | -$12.4M | -235% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6M | -195% |
| Q4 2025 | -$8.6M | -126% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.8M | -6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.2M | +$30.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $6.2M | +$16.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $33.7M | -37% |
MPAA's free cash flow was −$32M over the past year, against $70M the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has the edge over MPAA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
MPAA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +19% | +3.6M shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +3.1M shares |
| 3 years | +15% | +2.9M shares |
| 5 years | +15% | +2.9M shares |
| Available history | +16% | +3.2M shares |
MPAA has 22M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago, despite $10M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $3M |
| Q4 2025 | $5M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $2M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
MPAA spent $10M buying back its own shares over the past year.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has more cash than debt.
MPAA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2024 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2024 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2023 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2023 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2023 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2023 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2020 | 3.9x | Elevated |
MPAA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
MPAA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 26.6 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 11.6 | Oversold |
MPAA's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MPAA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MPAA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
MPAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
MPAA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.1 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.9 | 35% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 34% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.65 | 20% below |
MPAA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F has the edge over MPAA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MPAA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.9 | $19.9 | -9.2% |
| 2021 | $19.9 | $16.7 | -16% |
| 2022 | $16.7 | $11.3 | -32% |
| 2023 | $11.3 | $9.34 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.34 | $8.05 | -14% |
| 2025 | $8.05 | $12.5 | +55% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.5 | $7.71 | -38% |
MPAA has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.