F
Ford Motor Company
F has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
MOD
Modine Manufacturing Company
MOD has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
MOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
MOD's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.3x | $22.39 | -79% |
| Forward | 14x | $106 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $55.73 | -47% |
| Expensive | 44x | $107 | +0.9% |
| Current | 44x | $106 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MOD's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
MOD has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
MOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.72 | +220% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.41 | -30% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.68 | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.26 | -34% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.80 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.46 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.49 | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.42 | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.98 | -30% |
MOD has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $994.4M | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $874.1M | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $954.4M | +47% |
| Q4 2025 | $805M | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $738.9M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $682.8M | +3.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $647.2M | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $616.8M | +9.9% |
MOD has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.6% | -2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 10% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.6% | -1.4 points |
MOD has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over MOD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$140.6M | -$110.1M |
| Q2 2026 | -$5M | -2600% |
| Q1 2026 | $152.8M | +464% |
| Q4 2025 | -$17.1M | -138% |
| Q3 2025 | -$30.5M | -170% |
| Q2 2025 | $200K | -99% |
| Q1 2025 | $27.1M | +$31.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $44.7M | -4.1% |
MOD's free cash flow was −$10M over the past year, against $42M the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
MOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +100K shares |
| 3 years | +0.9% | +500K shares |
| 5 years | +2.5% | +1.3M shares |
| Available history | +5.5% | +2.8M shares |
MOD has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $64.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $200,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $600,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $5.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $18.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.5M |
MOD spent $67M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 133% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over MOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
MOD's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
MOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.1 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 7.8 | Oversold |
MOD's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MOD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 44x | 18x | 144% above |
| PE % | 82 | 47 | 35 pts above |
MOD is trading at 44x earnings, a 144% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
MOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $144.6 | 27% below |
| 20 week MA | $180.7 | 41% below |
| 50 week MA | $200.1 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $157.2 | 33% below |
| 200 week MA | $113.3 | 6.4% below |
MOD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F has the edge over MOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.57 | $12.2 | +61% |
| 2021 | $12.2 | $9.96 | -18% |
| 2022 | $9.96 | $19.6 | +97% |
| 2023 | $19.6 | $59.7 | +204% |
| 2024 | $59.7 | $118.7 | +99% |
| 2025 | $118.7 | $137.7 | +16% |
| 2026 YTD | $137.7 | $106.1 | -23% |
MOD has finished higher in five of the last six years, four of them by more than 50%. It's down 23% so far in 2026.