F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MHK

Mohawk Industries, Inc.

54
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

MHK has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MHK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

MHK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MHK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE100x201x301x401x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE100x201x301x401x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$79.26-46%
Fair15x$126-14%
Forward16x$147—
Current17x$147—
Expensive21x$182+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MHK's PE is in its expensive range at 17x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 16x, in its fair range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

F has the edge over MHK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

MHK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MHK's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MHK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MHK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$182.48
Downside-21%$115.81

Calculated from the latest close: $146.64 on Nov 12.

MHK trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MHK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.90Q1 2024: $-6.52Q2 2024: $-5.64Q3 2024: $8.85Q4 2024: $8.14Q1 2025: $7.65Q2 2025: $7.53Q3 2025: $6.73Q4 2025: $5.93Q2 2026: $6.68Q3 2026: $7.56Q4 2026: $8.53Forward: $9.11
Q4 2023: $-6.90Q1 2024: $-6.52Q2 2024: $-5.64Q3 2024: $8.85Q4 2024: $8.14Q1 2025: $7.65Q2 2025: $7.53Q3 2025: $6.73Q4 2025: $5.93Q2 2026: $6.68Q3 2026: $7.56Q4 2026: $8.53Forward: $9.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.11+6.8%
Q3 2026$8.53+27%
Q2 2026$7.56+0.4%
Q1 2026$6.68-13%
Q4 2025$5.93-27%
Q3 2025$6.73-24%
Q2 2025$7.53+$13.17
Q1 2025$7.65+$14.17
Q4 2024$8.14+$15.04

MHK has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MHK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3BQ4 2026: $2.8B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3BQ4 2026: $2.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.8B+1%
Q2 2026$3B+6.8%
Q1 2026$2.7B+8%
Q4 2025$2.7B+2.4%
Q3 2025$2.8B+1.4%
Q2 2025$2.8B0%
Q1 2025$2.5B-5.7%
Q4 2024$2.6B+1%

MHK's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $2.8B last quarter, up 1% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

MHK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $142MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $236MQ1 2025: −$85MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $310MQ4 2025: $265MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $228MQ4 2026: $390M
Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $142MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $236MQ1 2025: −$85MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $310MQ4 2025: $265MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $228MQ4 2026: $390M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$390.3M+26%
Q2 2026$228.2M+81%
Q1 2026$7.8M+$93.2M
Q4 2025$265.2M+12%
Q3 2025$310.3M+52%
Q2 2025$126.1M-11%
Q1 2025-$85.4M-188%
Q4 2024$236.2M+322%

MHK has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

MHK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 61MQ4 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 61MQ4 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-900K shares
1 year-3.7%-2.3M shares
3 years-5.8%-3.7M shares
5 years-13%-8.9M shares
Available history-17%-12.3M shares

MHK has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over MHK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MHK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.9xQ4 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.9xQ4 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

MHK's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.2 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

MHK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.4Neutral
Stochastic84.5Overbought

MHK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MHK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMHKSector medianRelative
PE17x18x4.6% below
PE %694722 pts above

MHK is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

MHK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$131.412% above
20 week MA$127.915% above
50 week MA$117.525% above
100 week MA$116.826% above
200 week MA$115.127% above

MHK has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

MHK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$134.4$138.7+3.2%
2021$138.7$171.2+23%
2022$171.2$98.0-43%
2023$98.0$103.5+5.7%
2024$103.5$118.8+15%
2025$118.8$110.2-7.2%
2026 YTD$110.2$146.6+33%

MHK has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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