F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over MCFT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

MCFT

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.

47
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation7/ 100
Upside potential8/ 100
Risk potential72/ 100

MCFT offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MCFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Strong

MCFT's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x94x125x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.7x$1.21-94%
Fair9.3x$1.67-92%
Expensive24x$4.36-80%
Current120x$21.59—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MCFT's PE is in its expensive range at 120x.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MCFT Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MCFT to show an outlook.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MCFT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MCFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+6%$22.90
Downside-72%$6.14

Calculated from the latest close: $21.59 on Nov 12.

MCFT trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MCFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $-0.10Q4 2026: $0.18
Q4 2023: $3.27Q1 2024: $2.22Q2 2024: $0.46Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.37Q2 2025: $0.44Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.96Q1 2026: $0.68Q2 2026: $-0.10Q4 2026: $0.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.18-81%
Q2 2026-$0.10-123%
Q1 2026$0.68+$1.05
Q4 2025$0.96+$1.34
Q3 2025$0.97+$1.18
Q2 2025$0.44-4.3%
Q1 2025-$0.37-117%
Q4 2024-$0.38-112%

MCFT has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MCFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $130MQ4 2026: $154M
Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $96MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $63MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $72MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $130MQ4 2026: $154M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$154.1M+123%
Q2 2026$129.9M+63%
Q1 2026$78.2M+3%
Q4 2025$71.8M+13%
Q3 2025$69M+5.6%
Q2 2025$79.5M+18%
Q1 2025$76M-21%
Q4 2024$63.4M-36%

MCFT has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over MCFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MCFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: −$877,000Q2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $199,000Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $15MQ4 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: −$877,000Q2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $199,000Q4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: −$10MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $4MQ2 2026: $15MQ4 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9M+$12.8M
Q2 2026$14.6M-18%
Q1 2026$3.8M-13%
Q4 2025$14M+245%
Q3 2025-$9.9M-5083%
Q2 2025$17.9M+$31.4M
Q1 2025$4.3M+$5.2M
Q4 2024$4M-83%

MCFT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $35M over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over MCFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MCFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ4 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 17MQ1 2024: 17MQ2 2024: 17MQ3 2024: 17MQ4 2024: 17MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 16MQ3 2025: 16MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 16MQ4 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+51%+8.2M shares
1 year+48%+7.9M shares
3 years+39%+6.8M shares
5 years+28%+5.3M shares
Available history+30%+5.5M shares

MCFT has 24M diluted shares, up 48% from a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over MCFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MCFT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: -10.1xQ1 2025: -8.8xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.5xQ4 2026: -1.8x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 2.2xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: -10.1xQ1 2025: -8.8xQ2 2025: -1.4xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -2.2xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.5xQ4 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-10.1xNet Cash

MCFT has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

MCFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.0Neutral
Stochastic32.4Neutral

MCFT's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MCFT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMCFTSector medianRelative
PE120x18x565% above
PE %1004753 pts above

MCFT is trading at 120x earnings, a 565% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

MCFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.46.1% above
20 week MA$22.33.2% below
50 week MA$22.12.4% below
100 week MA$20.55.2% above
200 week MA$22.01.8% below

MCFT has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

MCFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.4$26.7+73%
2021$26.7$26.3-1.6%
2022$26.3$26.2-0.3%
2023$26.2$22.6-14%
2024$22.6$18.7-17%
2025$18.7$19.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$19.5$21.6+11%

MCFT has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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