F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over MBUU overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MBUU

Malibu Boats, Inc.

41
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation8/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

MBUU offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MBUU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

MBUU's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MBUU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE81x161x242x322x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE81x161x242x322x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.8x$20.35—
Cheap7.4x$3.16-84%
Fair13x$5.52-73%
Expensive26x$11.27-45%
Current47x$20.35—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MBUU's PE is in its expensive range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 6.8x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MBUU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

MBUU has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MBUU, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MBUU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$25.73
Downside-29%$14.42

Calculated from the latest close: $20.35 on Nov 12.

MBUU trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MBUU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.12Q1 2024: $-2.67Q2 2024: $-2.74Q3 2024: $-3.97Q4 2024: $-4.34Q1 2025: $-0.40Q2 2025: $0.76Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.72Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.43Forward: $3.01
Q4 2023: $3.12Q1 2024: $-2.67Q2 2024: $-2.74Q3 2024: $-3.97Q4 2024: $-4.34Q1 2025: $-0.40Q2 2025: $0.76Q3 2025: $0.97Q4 2025: $0.72Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $0.09Q3 2026: $0.43Forward: $3.01
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.01+600%
Q3 2026$0.43-56%
Q2 2026$0.09-88%
Q1 2026-$0.07+$0.33
Q4 2025$0.72+$5.06
Q3 2025$0.97+$4.94
Q2 2025$0.76+$3.50
Q1 2025-$0.40+$2.27
Q4 2024-$4.34-239%

MBUU has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MBUU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $211MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $172MQ4 2024: $200MQ1 2025: $229MQ2 2025: $207MQ3 2025: $195MQ4 2025: $189MQ1 2026: $236MQ2 2026: $296MQ3 2026: $253M
Q4 2023: $211MQ1 2024: $203MQ2 2024: $159MQ3 2024: $172MQ4 2024: $200MQ1 2025: $229MQ2 2025: $207MQ3 2025: $195MQ4 2025: $189MQ1 2026: $236MQ2 2026: $296MQ3 2026: $253M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$252.9M+30%
Q2 2026$295.5M+43%
Q1 2026$235.7M+3.1%
Q4 2025$188.6M-5.8%
Q3 2025$194.7M+13%
Q2 2025$207M+30%
Q1 2025$228.7M+12%
Q4 2024$200.3M-5.1%

MBUU has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over MBUU on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MBUU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: −$39M
Q4 2023: $52MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $17MQ3 2026: −$39M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$39.5M-1871%
Q2 2026$16.9M+20%
Q1 2026$15.5M+77%
Q4 2025$8.2M-64%
Q3 2025$2.2M+$19.3M
Q2 2025$14.1M+214%
Q1 2025$8.8M-24%
Q4 2024$22.8M-56%

MBUU usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$39M, but it generated $1M over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over MBUU on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MBUU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 20M
Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 19MQ1 2026: 19MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 20M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+596K shares
1 year+3.1%+604K shares
3 years-3.6%-744K shares
5 years-5.6%-1.2M shares
Available history-3.7%-761K shares

MBUU has 20M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over MBUU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MBUU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 2.1x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.1xModerate
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.2xNet Cash

MBUU's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

MBUU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.3Neutral
Stochastic14.6Oversold

MBUU's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MBUU PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMBUUSector medianRelative
PE47x18x163% above
PE %964749 pts above

MBUU is trading at 47x earnings, a 163% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

MBUU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$22.28.3% below
20 week MA$25.219% below
50 week MA$27.125% below
100 week MA$29.732% below
200 week MA$38.447% below

MBUU is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 47% below its 200-week average.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over MBUU on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MBUU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.8$67.0+64%
2021$67.0$66.6-0.7%
2022$66.6$53.9-19%
2023$53.9$54.8+1.7%
2024$54.8$36.6-33%
2025$36.6$29.3-20%
2026 YTD$29.3$20.4-31%

MBUU has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 31% so far in 2026.

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