F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MAR

Marriott International, Inc.

54
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

MAR has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

MAR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Unavailable

MAR's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MAR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE67x133x200x266x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE67x133x200x266x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap23x$235-45%
Fair31x$306-28%
Forward33x$425—
Current42x$425—
Expensive53x$529+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MAR's PE is in its expensive range at 42x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MAR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

MAR has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MAR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MAR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$492.72
Downside-16%$356.61

Calculated from the latest close: $424.66 on Nov 12.

MAR trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

MAR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.18Q1 2024: $9.68Q2 2024: $9.99Q3 2024: $9.55Q4 2024: $8.33Q1 2025: $8.79Q2 2025: $8.88Q3 2025: $9.48Q4 2025: $9.51Q1 2026: $9.55Q2 2026: $9.67Q3 2026: $10.04Forward: $12.98
Q4 2023: $10.18Q1 2024: $9.68Q2 2024: $9.99Q3 2024: $9.55Q4 2024: $8.33Q1 2025: $8.79Q2 2025: $8.88Q3 2025: $9.48Q4 2025: $9.51Q1 2026: $9.55Q2 2026: $9.67Q3 2026: $10.04Forward: $12.98
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.98+29%
Q3 2026$10.04+5.9%
Q2 2026$9.67+8.9%
Q1 2026$9.55+8.6%
Q4 2025$9.51+14%
Q3 2025$9.48-0.7%
Q2 2025$8.88-11%
Q1 2025$8.79-9.2%
Q4 2024$8.33-18%

MAR has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

MAR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.1BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $6.4BQ3 2024: $6.3BQ4 2024: $6.4BQ1 2025: $6.3BQ2 2025: $6.7BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $6.7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7B
Q4 2023: $6.1BQ1 2024: $6BQ2 2024: $6.4BQ3 2024: $6.3BQ4 2024: $6.4BQ1 2025: $6.3BQ2 2025: $6.7BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $6.7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7B+8%
Q2 2026$7.1B+4.8%
Q1 2026$6.7B+6.2%
Q4 2025$6.7B+4.1%
Q3 2025$6.5B+3.7%
Q2 2025$6.7B+4.7%
Q1 2025$6.3B+4.8%
Q4 2024$6.4B+5.5%

MAR has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

MAR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $617MQ1 2024: $670MQ2 2024: $647MQ3 2024: $706MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: $512MQ2 2025: $488MQ3 2025: $951MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $728MQ2 2026: $796MQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $617MQ1 2024: $670MQ2 2024: $647MQ3 2024: $706MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: $512MQ2 2025: $488MQ3 2025: $951MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $728MQ2 2026: $796MQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+37%
Q2 2026$796M+63%
Q1 2026$728M+42%
Q4 2025$657M+$681M
Q3 2025$951M+35%
Q2 2025$488M-25%
Q1 2025$512M-24%
Q4 2024-$24M-104%

MAR generated $3.5B in free cash flow over the past year, up 81% from the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

MAR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 303MQ1 2024: 292MQ2 2024: 287MQ3 2024: 282MQ4 2024: 285MQ1 2025: 278MQ2 2025: 275MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 274MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 265MQ3 2026: 261M
Q4 2023: 303MQ1 2024: 292MQ2 2024: 287MQ3 2024: 282MQ4 2024: 285MQ1 2025: 278MQ2 2025: 275MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 274MQ1 2026: 267MQ2 2026: 265MQ3 2026: 261M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.3M shares
1 year-4.1%-11.3M shares
3 years-13%-38.9M shares
5 years-21%-68.1M shares
Available history-22%-74.3M shares

MAR has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has more cash than debt.

MAR Net Leverage

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

MAR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI72.9Overbought
Stochastic89.3Overbought

MAR's weekly RSI is 73 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 89 (overbought).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MAR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMARSector medianRelative
PE42x18x135% above
PE %814734 pts above

MAR is trading at 42x earnings, a 135% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

MAR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$387.09.7% above
20 week MA$369.315% above
50 week MA$353.320% above
100 week MA$310.137% above
200 week MA$263.561% above

MAR has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

MAR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$152.7$128.8-16%
2021$128.8$165.2+28%
2022$165.2$148.6-10%
2023$148.6$225.5+52%
2024$225.5$283.7+26%
2025$283.7$315.6+11%
2026 YTD$315.6$424.7+35%

MAR has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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