F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LVS

Las Vegas Sands Corp.

56
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

LVS has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LVS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Stable

LVS's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LVS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE220x440x660x880x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE220x440x660x880x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$39.33—
Current16x$39.33—
Cheap17x$40.68+3.4%
Fair23x$55.10+40%
Expensive32x$78.82+100%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LVS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 14x.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

F has the edge over LVS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

LVS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LVS's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LVS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LVS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$47.93
Downside-21%$31.01

Calculated from the latest close: $39.33 on Nov 12.

LVS trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LVS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.60Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $2.14Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.97Q1 2025: $1.80Q2 2025: $1.98Q3 2025: $2.21Q4 2025: $2.34Q1 2026: $2.70Q2 2026: $2.57Q3 2026: $2.44Forward: $2.87
Q4 2023: $1.60Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $2.14Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.97Q1 2025: $1.80Q2 2025: $1.98Q3 2025: $2.21Q4 2025: $2.34Q1 2026: $2.70Q2 2026: $2.57Q3 2026: $2.44Forward: $2.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.87+18%
Q3 2026$2.44+10%
Q2 2026$2.57+30%
Q1 2026$2.70+50%
Q4 2025$2.34+19%
Q3 2025$2.21+9.4%
Q2 2025$1.98-7.5%
Q1 2025$1.80-13%
Q4 2024$1.97+23%

LVS has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LVS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B-3.5%
Q2 2026$3.2B-0.7%
Q1 2026$3.6B+25%
Q4 2025$3.6B+26%
Q3 2025$3.3B+24%
Q2 2025$3.2B+15%
Q1 2025$2.9B-3.3%
Q4 2024$2.9B-0.7%

LVS has the edge over F on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over LVS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LVS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $681MQ1 2024: $518MQ2 2024: $529MQ3 2024: $222MQ4 2024: $368MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: −$108MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $930MQ1 2026: $537MQ2 2026: $350MQ3 2026: $589M
Q4 2023: $681MQ1 2024: $518MQ2 2024: $529MQ3 2024: $222MQ4 2024: $368MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: −$108MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $930MQ1 2026: $537MQ2 2026: $350MQ3 2026: $589M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$589M-34%
Q2 2026$350M+$458M
Q1 2026$537M+265%
Q4 2025$930M+153%
Q3 2025$886M+299%
Q2 2025-$108M-120%
Q1 2025$147M-72%
Q4 2024$368M-46%

LVS generated $2.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 86% from the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

LVS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 765MQ1 2024: 752MQ2 2024: 741MQ3 2024: 731MQ4 2024: 737MQ1 2025: 713MQ2 2025: 696MQ3 2025: 685MQ4 2025: 693MQ1 2026: 671MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 640M
Q4 2023: 765MQ1 2024: 752MQ2 2024: 741MQ3 2024: 731MQ4 2024: 737MQ1 2025: 713MQ2 2025: 696MQ3 2025: 685MQ4 2025: 693MQ1 2026: 671MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 640M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-16M shares
1 year-6.6%-45M shares
3 years-16%-126M shares
5 years-16%-124M shares
Available history-17%-131M shares

LVS has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over LVS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LVS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20253.2xElevated
Q1 20253.0xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

LVS's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

LVS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.3Neutral
Stochastic29.3Neutral

LVS's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LVS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLVSSector medianRelative
PE16x18x11% below
PE %124735 pts below

LVS is trading at 16x earnings, a 11% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

LVS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$37.84.2% above
20 week MA$42.47.2% below
50 week MA$50.522% below
100 week MA$49.220% below
200 week MA$50.021% below

LVS has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over LVS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LVS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$69.7$57.0-18%
2021$57.0$38.6-32%
2022$38.6$46.5+21%
2023$46.5$49.2+5.8%
2024$49.2$51.9+5.4%
2025$51.9$66.2+28%
2026 YTD$66.2$39.3-41%

LVS is down 41% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

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