F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over LUCK overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

LUCK

Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation

47
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

LUCK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LUCK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

LUCK's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LUCK PE Valuation

LUCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LUCK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for LUCK to show an outlook.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails LUCK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LUCK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$4.57
Downside-32%$2.13

Calculated from the latest close: $3.12 on Nov 12.

LUCK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has the edge over LUCK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LUCK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $0.53Q2 2024: $-0.61Q3 2024: $-0.57Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $-0.03Q2 2025: $-0.13Q3 2025: $-0.38Q4 2025: $-0.65Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.33Q3 2026: $-0.42
Q4 2023: $0.18Q1 2024: $0.53Q2 2024: $-0.61Q3 2024: $-0.57Q4 2024: $0.03Q1 2025: $-0.03Q2 2025: $-0.13Q3 2025: $-0.38Q4 2025: $-0.65Q1 2026: $-0.62Q2 2026: $-0.33Q3 2026: $-0.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.42-$0.04
Q2 2026-$0.33-$0.20
Q1 2026-$0.62-$0.59
Q4 2025-$0.65-2267%
Q3 2025-$0.38+$0.19
Q2 2025-$0.13+$0.48
Q1 2025-$0.03-106%
Q4 2024$0.03-83%

LUCK lost $0.42 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LUCK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $338MQ2 2024: $284MQ3 2024: $260MQ4 2024: $300MQ1 2025: $340MQ2 2025: $301MQ3 2025: $292MQ4 2025: $307MQ1 2026: $342MQ2 2026: $304MQ3 2026: $303M
Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $338MQ2 2024: $284MQ3 2024: $260MQ4 2024: $300MQ1 2025: $340MQ2 2025: $301MQ3 2025: $292MQ4 2025: $307MQ1 2026: $342MQ2 2026: $304MQ3 2026: $303M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$302.6M+3.5%
Q2 2026$303.9M+0.9%
Q1 2026$342.2M+0.7%
Q4 2025$306.9M+2.3%
Q3 2025$292.3M+12%
Q2 2025$301.2M+6.1%
Q1 2025$339.9M+0.7%
Q4 2024$300.1M-1.8%

LUCK has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over LUCK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LUCK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: −$41MQ3 2024: −$12MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: −$36MQ3 2026: −$4M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $43MQ2 2024: −$41MQ3 2024: −$12MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: −$1MQ3 2025: −$32MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: −$36MQ3 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.4M+$27.9M
Q2 2026-$35.5M-$34.4M
Q1 2026$42.9M-30%
Q4 2025$15.2M+$26.9M
Q3 2025-$32.3M-$20.1M
Q2 2025-$1.1M+$39.4M
Q1 2025$61.1M+41%
Q4 2024-$11.7M-$3.9M

LUCK has burned cash in most quarters: $18M over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

LUCK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 151MQ3 2024: 155MQ4 2024: 153MQ1 2025: 148MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 137MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 137MQ3 2026: 135M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 158MQ2 2024: 151MQ3 2024: 155MQ4 2024: 153MQ1 2025: 148MQ2 2025: 142MQ3 2025: 139MQ4 2025: 137MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 137MQ3 2026: 135M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.4%-1.9M shares
1 year-2.7%-3.8M shares
3 years-20%-34.2M shares
5 years+1336%+125M shares

LUCK has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over LUCK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LUCK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 6.1xQ2 2026: 6.6xQ3 2026: 6.6x
Q4 2023: 3.3xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 5.4xQ4 2025: 5.9xQ1 2026: 6.1xQ2 2026: 6.6xQ3 2026: 6.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.6xHigh
Q2 20266.6xHigh
Q1 20266.1xHigh
Q4 20255.9xHigh
Q3 20255.4xHigh
Q2 20254.3xHigh
Q1 20254.9xHigh
Q4 20244.8xHigh

LUCK's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.4 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

LUCK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI21.1Oversold
Stochastic6.5Oversold

LUCK's weekly RSI is 21 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LUCK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLUCKSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

LUCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

LUCK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.4330% below
20 week MA$5.7946% below
50 week MA$7.2957% below
100 week MA$8.4763% below
200 week MA$10.470% below

LUCK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 70% below its 200-week average.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over LUCK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LUCK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.70$9.15-5.7%
2022$9.15$13.3+45%
2023$13.3$14.2+6.5%
2024$14.2$10.8-24%
2025$10.8$8.89-18%
2026 YTD$8.89$3.12-65%

LUCK has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 65% so far in 2026.

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