F
Ford Motor Company
F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
LOW
Lowe's Companies, Inc.
LOW has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
LOW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
LOW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LOW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $206 | -9.6% |
| Forward | 18x | $227 | — |
| Current | 19x | $227 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $238 | +4.6% |
| Expensive | 23x | $268 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LOW's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
F has the edge over LOW on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
LOW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect LOW's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
LOW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.71 | +7.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.83 | -3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.83 | -2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.85 | -3.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.08 | +0.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.19 | +0.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.09 | -3.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.23 | -7.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.03 | -8.4% |
LOW has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
LOW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26B | +8.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.1B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.8B | +3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $24B | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.9B | -2% |
| Q1 2025 | $18.6B | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $20.2B | -1.5% |
LOW has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.3% | -1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.9% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -0.6 points |
LOW has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over LOW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LOW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $964M | +166% |
| Q4 2025 | $90M | -88% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7B | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | $363M | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $728M | +50% |
LOW still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $7B over the past year.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
LOW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
| 3 years | -4.3% | -25M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -147M shares |
| Available history | -27% | -210M shares |
LOW has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3M |
| Q2 2026 | $363M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $98M |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $112M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $751M |
LOW spent $464M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 79% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over LOW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LOW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.7x | Moderate |
LOW's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.4 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
LOW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.7 | Neutral |
LOW's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LOW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LOW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 18x | 6.7% above |
| PE % | 38 | 47 | 9 pts below |
LOW is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
LOW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $201.7 | 13% above |
| 20 week MA | $206.8 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $229.3 | 0.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $233.9 | 2.8% below |
| 200 week MA | $230.0 | 1.1% below |
LOW has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
LOW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $120.2 | $162.8 | +35% |
| 2021 | $162.8 | $250.1 | +54% |
| 2022 | $250.1 | $201.9 | -19% |
| 2023 | $201.9 | $222.6 | +10% |
| 2024 | $222.6 | $248.3 | +12% |
| 2025 | $248.3 | $244.5 | -1.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $244.5 | $227.5 | -7% |
LOW has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.