F
Ford Motor Company
F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
LOCO
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
LOCO has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
LOCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
LOCO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LOCO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 12x | $14.02 | -5.3% |
| Current | 13x | $14.80 | — |
| Forward | 14x | $14.80 | — |
| Fair | 15x | $17.10 | +16% |
| Expensive | 22x | $25.82 | +74% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LOCO's PE is in its cheap range at 13x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 14x, in its fair range.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
F has the edge over LOCO on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
LOCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect LOCO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
LOCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.03 | -10% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.15 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.17 | +38% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.98 | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.90 | +4.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.89 | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.85 | 0% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.86 | +7.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.86 | +16% |
LOCO has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
LOCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $126.3M | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $129.6M | +3% |
| Q1 2026 | $126.2M | +5.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $123.5M | +8.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $121.5M | +0.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $125.8M | +3% |
| Q1 2025 | $119.2M | +2.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $114.3M | +1.8% |
LOCO has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.1% | -1.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +5.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.7% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.3% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.4% | +1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 9% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9% | +1.3 points |
LOCO has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over LOCO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LOCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $506K | -95% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.3M | +156% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.8M | +105% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.1M | +349% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.9M | +8.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.1M | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.3M | -81% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1M | -47% |
LOCO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $32M over the past year.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has the edge over LOCO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
LOCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +116K shares |
| 1 year | +2.7% | +802K shares |
| 3 years | -9.8% | -3.3M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -6.3M shares |
| Available history | -14% | -5M shares |
LOCO has 30M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $1,000 |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $68,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3M |
| Q3 2024 | $1.1M |
| Q2 2024 | $17M |
| Q1 2024 | $1.2M |
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over LOCO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LOCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.2x | Healthy |
LOCO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
LOCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 50.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 34.4 | Neutral |
LOCO's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LOCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LOCO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13x | 18x | 29% below |
| PE % | 26 | 47 | 21 pts below |
LOCO is trading at 13x earnings, a 29% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
LOCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $14.9 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.4 | 4% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.8 | 7.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 22% above |
| 200 week MA | $11.3 | 32% above |
LOCO has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
LOCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.9 | $18.4 | +24% |
| 2021 | $18.4 | $14.5 | -21% |
| 2022 | $14.5 | $10.3 | -29% |
| 2023 | $10.3 | $8.82 | -14% |
| 2024 | $8.82 | $11.6 | +31% |
| 2025 | $11.6 | $10.9 | -6.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $10.9 | $14.8 | +36% |
LOCO has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.