F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over LKQ overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

LKQ

LKQ Corporation

28
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential13/ 100
Risk potential59/ 100

LKQ trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LKQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

LKQ's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LKQ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.8x14x20x27x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.2x$19.71—
Cheap13x$12.47-37%
Fair14x$13.82-30%
Expensive18x$17.41-12%
Current20x$19.71—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LKQ's PE is in its expensive range at 20x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.2x, in its cheap range.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

F has the edge over LKQ on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

LKQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Decline
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LKQ's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LKQ, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LKQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$21.45
Downside-59%$8.06

Calculated from the latest close: $19.71 on Nov 12.

LKQ trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LKQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.49Q1 2024: $3.07Q2 2024: $2.72Q3 2024: $2.67Q4 2024: $2.62Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.73Q3 2025: $2.70Q4 2025: $2.35Q1 2026: $2.01Q2 2026: $1.79Q3 2026: $0.99Forward: $2.15
Q4 2023: $3.49Q1 2024: $3.07Q2 2024: $2.72Q3 2024: $2.67Q4 2024: $2.62Q1 2025: $2.68Q2 2025: $2.73Q3 2025: $2.70Q4 2025: $2.35Q1 2026: $2.01Q2 2026: $1.79Q3 2026: $0.99Forward: $2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.15+117%
Q3 2026$0.99-63%
Q2 2026$1.79-34%
Q1 2026$2.01-25%
Q4 2025$2.35-10%
Q3 2025$2.70+1.1%
Q2 2025$2.73+0.4%
Q1 2025$2.68-13%
Q4 2024$2.62-25%

LKQ has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over LKQ on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LKQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.4BQ3 2026: $3.3B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.4BQ1 2025: $3.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.5BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.4BQ3 2026: $3.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3B-5.1%
Q2 2026$3.4B-6.4%
Q1 2026$3.5B+0.2%
Q4 2025$3.3B-1.3%
Q3 2025$3.5B-2.4%
Q2 2025$3.6B-1.9%
Q1 2025$3.5B-6.5%
Q4 2024$3.4B-4.1%

LKQ's revenue grew through 2021 and has held roughly level since: $3.3B last quarter, down 5.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over LKQ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LKQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $87MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $133MQ3 2024: $341MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$57MQ2 2025: $243MQ3 2025: $387MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: −$96MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $372M
Q4 2023: $87MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $133MQ3 2024: $341MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: −$57MQ2 2025: $243MQ3 2025: $387MQ4 2025: $274MQ1 2026: −$96MQ2 2026: $60MQ3 2026: $372M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$372M-3.9%
Q2 2026$60M-75%
Q1 2026-$96M-$39M
Q4 2025$274M+84%
Q3 2025$387M+13%
Q2 2025$243M+83%
Q1 2025-$57M-130%
Q4 2024$149M+71%

LKQ still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $610M over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

LKQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 268MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 266MQ3 2024: 263MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 260MQ2 2025: 258MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 256MQ2 2026: 255MQ3 2026: 253M
Q4 2023: 268MQ1 2024: 268MQ2 2024: 266MQ3 2024: 263MQ4 2024: 264MQ1 2025: 260MQ2 2025: 258MQ3 2025: 257MQ4 2025: 258MQ1 2026: 256MQ2 2026: 255MQ3 2026: 253M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.8M shares
1 year-1.7%-4.4M shares
3 years-5.8%-15.5M shares
5 years-14%-42M shares
Available history-19%-58.1M shares

LKQ has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over LKQ on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LKQ Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

LKQ has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

LKQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

LKQ's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LKQ PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLKQSector medianRelative
PE20x18x11% above
PE %914744 pts above

LKQ is trading at 20x earnings, a 11% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

LKQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.75% below
20 week MA$23.315% below
50 week MA$27.328% below
100 week MA$31.738% below
200 week MA$40.051% below

LKQ is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 51% below its 200-week average.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over LKQ on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LKQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.9$36.3+1.1%
2021$36.3$57.7+59%
2022$57.7$53.6-7.1%
2023$53.6$47.8-11%
2024$47.8$36.9-23%
2025$36.9$30.6-17%
2026 YTD$30.6$19.7-36%

LKQ has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 36% so far in 2026.

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