F
Ford Motor Company
F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LIND
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.
LIND has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
LIND Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
LIND's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LIND PE Valuation
LIND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 84x next year's earnings.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LIND Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
LIND has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
LIND Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.41 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.02 | +$0.61 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.38 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.54 | +$0.03 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.63 | +$0.04 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.63 | +$0.12 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.27 | +$0.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.57 | +$0.46 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.67 | +$0.27 |
LIND has the edge over F on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
LIND Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.2M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $199.2M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $208M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $183.2M | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $240.2M | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $167.9M | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $179.7M | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $148.6M | +19% |
LIND has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6% | +3.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 7.5% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -3% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.6% | +8.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.9% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | -5.1% | +5.9 points |
LIND has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
LIND Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1M | -110% |
| Q2 2026 | $51.1M | +279% |
| Q1 2026 | $42.6M | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.5M | +$11.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $11.9M | -35% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.5M | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $35M | -6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.2M | +$8.9M |
LIND usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$1M, but it generated $96M over the past year.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has the edge over LIND on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
LIND Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.8% | +1.2M shares |
| 1 year | +20% | +11.1M shares |
| 3 years | +25% | +13.3M shares |
| 5 years | +33% | +16.6M shares |
| Available history | +35% | +17.3M shares |
LIND has 67M diluted shares, up 20% from a year ago.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over LIND on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LIND Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.4x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.4x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 6.0x | High |
LIND's net debt is about 2.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.9 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
LIND Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.7 | Neutral |
LIND's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LIND PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LIND | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
LIND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
LIND Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $34.2 | 0.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $30.9 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $23.6 | 45% above |
| 100 week MA | $17.6 | 94% above |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 154% above |
LIND has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
LIND Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $16.6 | $15.6 | -5.7% |
| 2021 | $15.6 | $17.3 | +11% |
| 2022 | $17.3 | $6.96 | -60% |
| 2023 | $6.96 | $11.3 | +62% |
| 2024 | $11.3 | $12.0 | +6.6% |
| 2025 | $12.0 | $14.4 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.4 | $34.1 | +136% |
LIND has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.