F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LCII

LCI Industries

57
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation65/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

LCII has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LCII Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

LCII's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its revenue is under pressure.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCII PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x69x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x35x52x69x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.6x$78.22-19%
Current12x$96.99—
Fair16x$132+36%
Expensive26x$212+119%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LCII's PE is in its cheap range at 12x.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCII Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for LCII to show an outlook.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCII, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCII Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$121.79
Downside-22%$75.67

Calculated from the latest close: $96.99 on Nov 12.

LCII trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LCII Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.52Q1 2024: $3.67Q2 2024: $4.76Q3 2024: $5.13Q4 2024: $5.60Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $5.99Q3 2025: $7.15Q4 2025: $7.57Q1 2026: $8.16Q2 2026: $8.62Q3 2026: $8.12
Q4 2023: $2.52Q1 2024: $3.67Q2 2024: $4.76Q3 2024: $5.13Q4 2024: $5.60Q1 2025: $6.10Q2 2025: $5.99Q3 2025: $7.15Q4 2025: $7.57Q1 2026: $8.16Q2 2026: $8.62Q3 2026: $8.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$8.12+14%
Q2 2026$8.62+44%
Q1 2026$8.16+34%
Q4 2025$7.57+35%
Q3 2025$7.15+39%
Q2 2025$5.99+26%
Q1 2025$6.10+66%
Q4 2024$5.60+122%

LCII has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCII Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $838MQ1 2024: $968MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $915MQ4 2024: $803MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $933MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $969MQ3 2026: $992M
Q4 2023: $838MQ1 2024: $968MQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $915MQ4 2024: $803MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $933MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $969MQ3 2026: $992M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$992.5M-4.2%
Q2 2026$968.7M-13%
Q1 2026$1.1B+4.3%
Q4 2025$932.7M+16%
Q3 2025$1B+13%
Q2 2025$1.1B+5%
Q1 2025$1B+8%
Q4 2024$803.1M-4.1%

LCII has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over LCII on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCII Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $180MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $96MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: $185MQ3 2026: $54M
Q4 2023: $126MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $180MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $96MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $99MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: $185MQ3 2026: $54M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$53.6M-34%
Q2 2026$184.9M+86%
Q1 2026-$43.1M-228%
Q4 2025$64.3M-33%
Q3 2025$80.9M+18%
Q2 2025$99.5M-45%
Q1 2025$33.7M+$49.9M
Q4 2024$95.7M-24%

LCII still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $260M over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

LCII Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 25MQ2 2025: 25MQ3 2025: 24MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 25MQ2 2026: 24MQ3 2026: 24M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+25K shares
1 year-0.2%-49K shares
3 years-4.3%-1.1M shares
5 years-3.9%-1M shares
Available history-2.7%-676K shares

LCII has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over LCII on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LCII Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q4 2023: 3.1xQ1 2024: 2.8xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.0xQ4 2024: 1.7xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.0xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20252.0xHealthy
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.7xHealthy

LCII's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.0 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

LCII Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.6Neutral
Stochastic63.9Neutral

LCII's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCII PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLCIISector medianRelative
PE12x18x34% below
PE %234724 pts below

LCII is trading at 12x earnings, a 34% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

LCII Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.59.6% above
20 week MA$96.30.7% above
50 week MA$112.314% below
100 week MA$104.47.1% below
200 week MA$109.812% below

LCII has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over LCII on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCII Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.7$134.3+24%
2021$134.3$149.9+12%
2022$149.9$94.8-37%
2023$94.8$125.7+33%
2024$125.7$102.7-18%
2025$102.7$123.7+20%
2026 YTD$123.7$97.0-22%

LCII has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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