F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JOUT

Johnson Outdoors Inc.

66
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

JOUT has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

JOUT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

JOUT's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JOUT PE Valuation

JOUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JOUT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

JOUT has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JOUT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JOUT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$59.94
Downside-20%$37.90

Calculated from the latest close: $47.57 on Nov 12.

JOUT trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

JOUT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.90Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-2.60Q4 2024: $-4.47Q1 2025: $-4.46Q2 2025: $-3.87Q4 2025: $-3.35Q1 2026: $-2.19Q2 2026: $-1.52Q3 2026: $-0.85Forward: $1.37
Q3 2023: $1.90Q4 2023: $1.71Q1 2024: $0.47Q2 2024: $-0.81Q3 2024: $-2.60Q4 2024: $-4.47Q1 2025: $-4.46Q2 2025: $-3.87Q4 2025: $-3.35Q1 2026: $-2.19Q2 2026: $-1.52Q3 2026: $-0.85Forward: $1.37
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.37—
Q2 2026-$0.85+$3.02
Q1 2026-$1.52+$2.94
Q4 2025-$2.19+$2.28
Q3 2025-$3.35-$0.75
Q2 2025-$3.87-$3.06
Q1 2025-$4.46-1049%
Q4 2024-$4.47-361%
Q3 2024-$2.60-237%

JOUT is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.85 per share over the past year, against $4.47 at its worst in late 2024.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

JOUT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $96MQ4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $176MQ2 2024: $172MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $141MQ2 2026: $194MQ3 2026: $190M
Q3 2023: $96MQ4 2023: $139MQ1 2024: $176MQ2 2024: $172MQ3 2024: $106MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $136MQ1 2026: $141MQ2 2026: $194MQ3 2026: $190M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$189.7M+5%
Q1 2026$194.5M+16%
Q4 2025$140.9M+31%
Q3 2025$135.8M+28%
Q2 2025$180.7M+4.7%
Q1 2025$168.3M-4.3%
Q4 2024$107.6M-22%
Q3 2024$105.9M+9.9%

JOUT has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over JOUT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JOUT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$7MQ4 2023: −$39MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: −$41MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: $72M
Q3 2023: −$7MQ4 2023: −$39MQ1 2024: −$23MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: −$41MQ1 2025: −$5MQ2 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: −$43MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: $72M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$71.8M+7.3%
Q1 2026-$18.5M-$13.5M
Q4 2025-$42.7M-$1.7M
Q3 2025$19.2M+42%
Q2 2025$66.9M-0.7%
Q1 2025-$5M+$18.3M
Q4 2024-$41M-$2.3M
Q3 2024$13.5M+$20.3M

JOUT still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $30M over the past year.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over JOUT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JOUT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 10MQ4 2023: 10MQ1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 10MQ4 2024: 10MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 10MQ1 2026: 10MQ2 2026: 10MQ3 2026: 10M
Q3 2023: 10MQ4 2023: 10MQ1 2024: 10MQ2 2024: 10MQ3 2024: 10MQ4 2024: 10MQ1 2025: 10MQ2 2025: 10MQ4 2025: 10MQ1 2026: 10MQ2 2026: 10MQ3 2026: 10M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+5K shares
1 year+0.9%+95K shares
3 years+1.7%+178K shares
5 years+2.5%+252K shares
Available history+3.7%+367K shares

JOUT has 10M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has more cash than debt.

JOUT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -4.0xQ4 2023: -3.4xQ1 2024: -4.6xQ4 2025: -39.8xQ1 2026: -5.9xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -4.6x
Q3 2023: -4.0xQ4 2023: -3.4xQ1 2024: -4.6xQ4 2025: -39.8xQ1 2026: -5.9xQ2 2026: -4.0xQ3 2026: -4.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-4.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-39.8xNet Cash
Q1 2024-4.6xNet Cash
Q4 2023-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2023-4.0xNet Cash
Q2 2023-1.9xNet Cash

JOUT has the edge over F on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

JOUT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.5Neutral
Stochastic55.2Neutral

JOUT's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JOUT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricJOUTSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

JOUT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

JOUT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$45.15.4% above
20 week MA$45.74.2% above
50 week MA$46.13.3% above
100 week MA$39.521% above
200 week MA$43.98.3% above

JOUT has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

JOUT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$76.0$108.0+42%
2021$108.0$94.5-12%
2022$94.5$66.7-29%
2023$66.7$53.4-20%
2024$53.4$34.2-36%
2025$34.2$43.8+28%
2026 YTD$43.8$47.6+8.6%

JOUT has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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