F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

JAKK

JAKKS Pacific, Inc.

55
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation23/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

JAKK has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

JAKK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

JAKK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JAKK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.4x$7.23-80%
Fair6.4x$13.62-62%
Current17x$36.12—
Expensive22x$47.20+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JAKK's PE is in its expensive range at 17x.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

JAKK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for JAKK to show an outlook.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails JAKK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JAKK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$49.90
Downside-20%$29.01

Calculated from the latest close: $36.12 on Nov 12.

JAKK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

JAKK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.48Q1 2024: $2.84Q2 2024: $2.73Q3 2024: $2.84Q4 2024: $3.14Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $0.57Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $1.40Q3 2026: $2.14
Q4 2023: $3.48Q1 2024: $2.84Q2 2024: $2.73Q3 2024: $2.84Q4 2024: $3.14Q1 2025: $4.15Q2 2025: $3.47Q3 2025: $0.57Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $1.40Q3 2026: $2.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.14+275%
Q2 2026$1.40-60%
Q1 2026$0.70-83%
Q4 2025$0.86-73%
Q3 2025$0.57-80%
Q2 2025$3.47+27%
Q1 2025$4.15+46%
Q4 2024$3.14-9.8%

JAKK has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over JAKK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

JAKK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $90MQ2 2024: $149MQ3 2024: $322MQ4 2024: $131MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $139MQ3 2026: $254M
Q4 2023: $127MQ1 2024: $90MQ2 2024: $149MQ3 2024: $322MQ4 2024: $131MQ1 2025: $113MQ2 2025: $119MQ3 2025: $211MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $139MQ3 2026: $254M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$254.2M+20%
Q2 2026$139.2M+17%
Q1 2026$106.7M-5.8%
Q4 2025$127.1M-2.8%
Q3 2025$211.2M-34%
Q2 2025$119.1M-20%
Q1 2025$113.3M+26%
Q4 2024$130.7M+2.6%

JAKK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $254M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

JAKK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: −$15MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: −$161,000Q3 2026: −$12M
Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: −$15MQ2 2024: −$17MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $50MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: −$12MQ4 2025: $32MQ1 2026: $16MQ2 2026: −$161,000Q3 2026: −$12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.8M+$361K
Q2 2026-$161K+$16.5M
Q1 2026$16.2M+$20M
Q4 2025$31.5M-37%
Q3 2025-$12.2M-225%
Q2 2025-$16.6M+$571K
Q1 2025-$3.8M+$11.3M
Q4 2024$50.2M+$74.7M

JAKK has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over JAKK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JAKK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 12M
Q4 2023: 11MQ1 2024: 11MQ2 2024: 11MQ3 2024: 11MQ4 2024: 11MQ1 2025: 11MQ2 2025: 11MQ3 2025: 11MQ4 2025: 11MQ1 2026: 11MQ2 2026: 12M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.7%+428K shares
1 year+6.5%+726K shares
3 years+13%+1.3M shares
5 years+91%+5.7M shares
Available history+301%+8.9M shares

JAKK has 12M diluted shares, up 6.5% from a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over JAKK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

JAKK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -1.6x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.7xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -1.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.7xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -2.9xQ1 2026: -3.7xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.4xNet Cash

JAKK has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

JAKK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI84.2Overbought
Stochastic87.4Overbought

JAKK's weekly RSI is 84 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 87 (overbought).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

JAKK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricJAKKSector medianRelative
PE17x18x6.3% below
PE %734726 pts above

JAKK is trading at 17x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

JAKK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$30.120% above
20 week MA$26.934% above
50 week MA$22.958% above
100 week MA$22.263% above
200 week MA$22.660% above

JAKK has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

JAKK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.81$5.10-48%
2021$5.10$10.6+108%
2022$10.6$16.5+56%
2023$16.5$35.6+115%
2024$35.6$27.4-23%
2025$27.4$16.8-39%
2026 YTD$16.8$36.1+115%

JAKK has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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