F
Ford Motor Company
F has the edge over IP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
IP
International Paper Company
IP offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
IP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
IP's cash flow is currently stable, but its revenue, profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
IP PE Valuation
IP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
IP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
IP has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has the edge over IP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
IP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.18 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$6.56 | -$3.95 |
| Q2 2026 | -$6.52 | -$6.42 |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.36 | -644% |
| Q4 2025 | -$6.71 | -527% |
| Q3 2025 | -$2.61 | -323% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.10 | -108% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.17 | +139% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.57 | +91% |
IP lost $6.56 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F has the edge over IP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
IP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.2B | -0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $6B | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $6B | +1.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $6B | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.2B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.8B | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.9B | +28% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.6B | -0.5% |
IP has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -19% | -8.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | -0.4% | -2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -44% | -39 points |
| Q3 2025 | -11% | -16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1.7% | -5.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.3% | -6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -4.9% | +2.2 points |
IP's operating margin was −19% last quarter, down 8.4 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over IP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
IP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$267M | -278% |
| Q2 2026 | -$7M | -113% |
| Q1 2026 | $94M | +$712M |
| Q4 2025 | $255M | +86% |
| Q3 2025 | $150M | -51% |
| Q2 2025 | $54M | -68% |
| Q1 2025 | -$618M | -529% |
| Q4 2024 | $137M | -27% |
IP's free cash flow is usually positive and has bounced back after one negative quarter: $75M over the past year, against −$277M the year before.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
IP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +100K shares |
| 1 year | +0.3% | +1.6M shares |
| 3 years | +53% | +183M shares |
| 5 years | +26% | +111M shares |
| Available history | +26% | +108M shares |
IP has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $1M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | $1M |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $1M |
| Q1 2025 | $62M |
| Q4 2024 | $1M |
IP spent $32M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 51% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has more cash than debt.
IP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q3 2024 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2024 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2024 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2023 | 2.1x | Moderate |
IP's net debt is about 5.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.3 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
IP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 31.0 | Neutral |
IP's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
IP PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | IP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
IP has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
IP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $33.9 | 0.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $36.9 | 8% below |
| 50 week MA | $37.6 | 9.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $43.3 | 22% below |
| 200 week MA | $41.3 | 18% below |
IP has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F has the edge over IP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
IP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $43.5 | $47.1 | +8.4% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $45.8 | -2.7% |
| 2022 | $45.8 | $34.7 | -24% |
| 2023 | $34.7 | $36.2 | +4.1% |
| 2024 | $36.2 | $54.5 | +51% |
| 2025 | $54.5 | $39.9 | -27% |
| 2026 YTD | $39.9 | $33.9 | -15% |
IP has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 15% so far in 2026.