F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

HZO

MarineMax, Inc.

53
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

HZO has a slight edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

HZO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Healthy
Weak

HZO's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue and balance sheet are under pressure.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HZO PE Valuation

HZO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HZO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect HZO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails HZO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HZO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+42%$75.20
Downside-30%$37.11

Calculated from the latest close: $52.79 on Nov 12.

HZO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

HZO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $-1.43Q4 2025: $-2.56Q1 2026: $-2.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $-0.41Forward: $1.61
Q3 2025: $-1.43Q4 2025: $-2.56Q1 2026: $-2.82Q2 2026: $0.26Q3 2026: $-0.41Forward: $1.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.61—
Q3 2026-$0.41+$1.02

HZO has the edge over F in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F has the edge over HZO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

HZO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $468MQ1 2025: $632MQ2 2025: $657MQ3 2025: $552MQ4 2025: $505MQ1 2026: $527MQ2 2026: $611MQ3 2026: $520M
Q4 2024: $468MQ1 2025: $632MQ2 2025: $657MQ3 2025: $552MQ4 2025: $505MQ1 2026: $527MQ2 2026: $611MQ3 2026: $520M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$520.1M-5.8%
Q2 2026$611.3M-7%
Q1 2026$527.4M-16%
Q4 2025$505.2M+7.8%

HZO's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $520M last quarter, down 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

HZO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: −$164MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: −$164MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $68MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $45MQ2 2026: $77MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$77.2M+13%
Q1 2026$44.5M-26%
Q4 2025$8.3M+$172.7M

HZO has the edge over F in the latest year-over-year cash flow comparison.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over HZO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HZO Total Shares

Q4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23M
Q4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 23MQ2 2025: 22MQ3 2025: 22MQ4 2025: 22MQ1 2026: 22MQ2 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.1%+1.1M shares
1 year+7.6%+1.6M shares

HZO has 23M diluted shares, up 7.6% from a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over HZO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HZO Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 10.4xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ4 2025: 18.3xQ1 2026: 22.5xQ2 2026: 6.8x
Q4 2024: 5.3xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 10.4xQ3 2025: 11.3xQ4 2025: 18.3xQ1 2026: 22.5xQ2 2026: 6.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20266.8xHigh
Q1 202622.5xHigh
Q4 202518.3xHigh
Q3 202511.3xHigh
Q2 202510.4xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20245.3xHigh

HZO's net debt is about 6.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 10 years a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

HZO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI78.2Overbought
Stochastic96.4Overbought

HZO's weekly RSI is 78 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 96 (overbought).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HZO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHZOSector medianRelative
PE203x18x1,026% above
PE %1004753 pts above

HZO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

HZO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.60.5% above
20 week MA$47.212% above
50 week MA$36.445% above
100 week MA$30.672% above
200 week MA$31.170% above

HZO has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

HZO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$16.7$37.8+127%
2021$37.8$56.3+49%
2022$56.3$31.0-45%
2023$31.0$38.9+26%
2024$38.9$27.8-29%
2025$27.8$24.5-12%
2026 YTD$24.5$52.8+116%

HZO has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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