F
Ford Motor Company
F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
HTHT
H World Group Limited
HTHT has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
HTHT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
HTHT's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HTHT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 20x | $45.91 | -8.1% |
| Current | 21x | $49.95 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $54.62 | +9.3% |
| Expensive | 73x | $172 | +244% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HTHT's PE is 21x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HTHT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HTHT, with profitability holding steady.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
HTHT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2.34 | +33% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.33 | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.37 | +66% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.85 | +5.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.76 | -0.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.54 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.43 | -24% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.76 | +16% |
HTHT has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
HTHT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $894.4M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $965.7M | +6.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1B | +8.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $964.4M | +4.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $809.6M | +2.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $903.9M | +7.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $966.8M | +2.4% |
HTHT has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 31% | +3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 25% | +4.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 26% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | 29% | +2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +1.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 27% | -3.6 points |
HTHT has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
HTHT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $481.3M | +30% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.6M | -85% |
| Q4 2025 | $473.3M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $224.1M | +5.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $370.7M | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $51M | -44% |
| Q4 2024 | $391.1M | +29% |
| Q3 2024 | $212.8M | +44% |
HTHT has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
HTHT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -1.7M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +2.1M shares |
| 3 years | -3% | -10.1M shares |
| 5 years | -0.6% | -2.1M shares |
| Available history | +6.9% | +21M shares |
HTHT has 325M diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago, despite $325M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $275.7M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $49.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $450,214 |
| Q2 2025 | $2M |
| Q1 2025 | $64.5M |
| Q4 2024 | $2M |
| Q3 2024 | $71.3M |
HTHT spent $325M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 133% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over HTHT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HTHT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 3.8x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 4.2x | High |
HTHT's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
HTHT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 88.0 | Overbought |
HTHT's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HTHT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HTHT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 18x | 18% above |
| PE % | 30 | 47 | 17 pts below |
HTHT is trading at 21x earnings, a 18% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
HTHT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $46.2 | 8.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $44.5 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $47.3 | 5.7% above |
| 100 week MA | $41.5 | 20% above |
| 200 week MA | $40.0 | 25% above |
HTHT has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
HTHT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $41.5 | $44.4 | +7% |
| 2021 | $44.4 | $37.3 | -16% |
| 2022 | $37.3 | $41.7 | +12% |
| 2023 | $41.7 | $33.4 | -20% |
| 2024 | $33.4 | $33.4 | -0.1% |
| 2025 | $33.4 | $48.5 | +45% |
| 2026 YTD | $48.5 | $50.0 | +3% |
HTHT has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.