F
Ford Motor Company
F has the edge over HOV overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.
HOV's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
HOV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Unavailable |
HOV's cash flow is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its revenue is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HOV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 1.4x | $1.23 | -99% |
| Fair | 4.7x | $4.20 | -96% |
| Expensive | 17x | $14.69 | -85% |
| Current | 107x | $95.33 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HOV's PE is in its expensive range at 107x.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
HOV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| -- |
Analysts expect HOV's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
HOV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $0.89 | -96% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.58 | -87% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.47 | -80% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.43 | -77% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.47 | -36% |
| Q2 2025 | $28.23 | -5% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.46 | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $31.79 | +18% |
HOV has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F has the edge over HOV on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F has the edge over HOV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
HOV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $705.7M | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $667.6M | -2.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $632M | -6.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $817.9M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $800.6M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $686.5M | -3.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $673.6M | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $979.6M | +10% |
HOV's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $706M last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9% | -1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2% | -8.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5% | -5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.5% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | -3.2 points |
HOV's operating margin was −0.9% last quarter, down 1.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over HOV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
HOV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$27.9M | -161% |
| Q2 2026 | -$70.5M | -541% |
| Q1 2026 | $132.1M | +$191.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $164M | +47% |
| Q3 2025 | $45.8M | +$141.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $16M | -81% |
| Q1 2025 | -$59.6M | +$34.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $111.4M | -19% |
HOV usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$28M, but it generated $198M over the past year.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
HOV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -4K shares |
| 1 year | -6.9% | -475K shares |
| 3 years | -4.4% | -293K shares |
| 5 years | +0.7% | +44K shares |
| Available history | +7.2% | +430K shares |
HOV has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $78,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $9.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $9M |
| Q4 2025 | $58,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $94,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $12.3M |
| Q1 2025 | $18.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $11,000 |
HOV spent $19M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 39% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has more cash than debt.
HOV Net Leverage
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
HOV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.9 | Oversold |
HOV's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HOV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HOV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 107x | 18x | 494% above |
| PE % | 97 | 47 | 50 pts above |
HOV is trading at 107x earnings, a 494% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
HOV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $104.0 | 8.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $118.5 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $115.7 | 18% below |
| 100 week MA | $117.6 | 19% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 23% below |
HOV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
HOV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.1 | $36.2 | +71% |
| 2021 | $36.2 | $125.5 | +247% |
| 2022 | $125.5 | $46.9 | -63% |
| 2023 | $46.9 | $155.6 | +232% |
| 2024 | $155.6 | $133.3 | -14% |
| 2025 | $133.3 | $101.8 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $101.8 | $95.3 | -6.3% |
HOV has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.