F
Ford Motor Company
F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
HGV
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
HGV has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
HGV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure |
HGV's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HGV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 8.5x | $43.92 | — |
| Forward | 9.5x | $43.92 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $65.69 | +50% |
| Fair | 20x | $104 | +138% |
| Expensive | 80x | $411 | +837% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
HGV's PE is in its cheap range at 8.5x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 9.5x.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
F has the edge over HGV on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
HGV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Deteriorating | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect HGV's earnings to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
HGV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.63 | -10% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.17 | +840% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.75 | +218% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.85 | +478% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.89 | +98% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.55 | -38% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.55 | -62% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.32 | -85% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.45 | -84% |
HGV has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
HGV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2B | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +3.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.3B | -0.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +2.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | -0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | +26% |
HGV has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 25% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7% | -2.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | +5.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.3% | -3.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.8% | +1.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.2% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | -4.2 points |
HGV has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.
HGV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $73M | +462% |
| Q2 2026 | $131M | +185% |
| Q1 2026 | $122M | +408% |
| Q4 2025 | $147M | +63% |
| Q3 2025 | $13M | -84% |
| Q2 2025 | $46M | -57% |
| Q1 2025 | $24M | +$34M |
| Q4 2024 | $90M | +$103M |
HGV has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
HGV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2.8% | -2.3M shares |
| 1 year | -13% | -11.5M shares |
| 3 years | -29% | -32.3M shares |
| 5 years | -28% | -30.5M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -10.7M shares |
HGV has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $110M |
| Q2 2026 | $150M |
| Q1 2026 | $150M |
| Q4 2025 | $150M |
| Q3 2025 | $150M |
| Q2 2025 | $150M |
| Q1 2025 | $150M |
| Q4 2024 | $125M |
HGV spent $560M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 2.6% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over HGV on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
HGV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 5.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 6.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.8x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.9x | High |
HGV's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.5 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
HGV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
HGV's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
HGV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | HGV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.5x | 18x | 53% below |
| PE % | 3 | 47 | 44 pts below |
HGV is trading at 8.5x earnings, a 53% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
HGV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $37.9 | 16% above |
| 20 week MA | $42.4 | 3.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $44.7 | 1.7% below |
| 100 week MA | $43.0 | 2.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.5 | 3.4% above |
HGV has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.
HGV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $34.5 | $30.5 | -12% |
| 2021 | $30.5 | $51.2 | +68% |
| 2022 | $51.2 | $39.0 | -24% |
| 2023 | $39.0 | $40.2 | +3.2% |
| 2024 | $40.2 | $39.6 | -1.4% |
| 2025 | $39.6 | $45.2 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $45.2 | $43.9 | -2.9% |
HGV has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.