F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F has the edge over HDL overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

HDL

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING Ltd. American Depositary Shares

48
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

HDL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

HDL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

HDL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HDL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap20x$5.44-49%
Fair22x$5.94-44%
Expensive34x$9.06-15%
Current40x$10.69—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HDL's PE is 40x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

HDL Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for HDL to show an outlook.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HDL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

HDL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$13.32
Downside-20%$8.59

Calculated from the latest close: $10.69 on Nov 12.

HDL trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

HDL Earnings Per Share

Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $0.40Q4 2025: $0.70Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.27
Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $0.40Q4 2025: $0.70Q1 2026: $0.60Q2 2026: $0.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.27-70%

HDL has the edge over F in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

HDL Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $173MQ4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $198MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $230MQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $219M
Q3 2023: $173MQ4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $182MQ3 2024: $199MQ4 2024: $210MQ1 2025: $198MQ2 2025: $199MQ3 2025: $214MQ4 2025: $230MQ1 2026: $226MQ2 2026: $219M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$218.7M+9.9%
Q1 2026$225.9M+14%
Q4 2025$230.3M+9.6%
Q3 2025$214M+7.8%
Q2 2025$199M+9.1%
Q1 2025$197.8M+4.9%
Q4 2024$210.1M+10%
Q3 2024$198.6M+15%

HDL has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over HDL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HDL Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $17MQ4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $22,487Q2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $28M
Q3 2023: $17MQ4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $24MQ3 2024: $41MQ4 2024: $13MQ1 2025: $22,487Q2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $34MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $28M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$28.2M+6.2%
Q1 2026$24.2M+107673%
Q4 2025$2.7M-79%
Q3 2025$34.1M-16%
Q2 2025$26.6M+11%
Q1 2025$22.5K-100%
Q4 2024$12.8M-27%
Q3 2024$40.7M+133%

HDL generated $89M in free cash flow over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has the edge over HDL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

HDL Total Shares

Q3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 59M
Q3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 36MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 59M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+44%+17.9M shares
1 year+7.5%+4.1M shares

HDL has 59M diluted shares, up 7.5% from a year ago.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over HDL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HDL Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 0.1xQ4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.7x
Q3 2023: 0.1xQ4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: 0.0xQ4 2025: -0.4xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 20250.0xVery low
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.2xNet Cash

HDL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

HDL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic9.0Oversold

HDL's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

HDL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricHDLSector medianRelative
PE40x18x121% above
PE %1002377 pts above

HDL is trading at 40x earnings, a 121% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

HDL has stronger trend alignment. F is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus HDL above 0 of 4.

HDL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.80.6% below
20 week MA$12.011% below
50 week MA$14.024% below
100 week MA$17.639% below

HDL is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 39% below its 100-week average.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over HDL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

HDL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$22.3$27.3+22%
2025$27.3$16.3-40%
2026 YTD$16.3$10.7-34%

HDL has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 34% so far in 2026.

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