F
Ford Motor Company
F has the edge over GPI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
GPI
Group 1 Automotive, Inc.
GPI has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
GPI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
GPI's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GPI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 5.1x | $162 | -37% |
| Forward | 7x | $257 | — |
| Current | 8.1x | $257 | — |
| Fair | 8.2x | $261 | +1.5% |
| Expensive | 12x | $383 | +49% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
GPI's PE is in its fair range at 8.1x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.0x.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
F has the edge over GPI on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
GPI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect GPI's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
GPI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $36.79 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $31.83 | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.24 | -33% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.42 | -26% |
| Q4 2025 | $25.24 | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.64 | -24% |
| Q2 2025 | $36.33 | -10% |
| Q1 2025 | $35.68 | -16% |
| Q4 2024 | $36.81 | -14% |
GPI has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
GPI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.4B | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.4B | -5.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.4B | -1.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.6B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.8B | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.7B | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.5B | +23% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.5B | +24% |
GPI has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.7% | +1.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.8% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5% | -1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.9% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.4% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3% | -1.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.5% | -0.9 points |
GPI has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over GPI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
GPI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $146.7M | +69% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.8M | -89% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.4M | -92% |
| Q4 2025 | $51.4M | -57% |
| Q3 2025 | $86.7M | -55% |
| Q2 2025 | $179.9M | +$343.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $106.5M | -44% |
| Q4 2024 | $120.1M | +$370.4M |
GPI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $226M over the past year.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
GPI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +32.9K shares |
| 1 year | -7.2% | -920K shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -1.8M shares |
| 5 years | -33% | -6M shares |
| Available history | -34% | -6.1M shares |
GPI has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $72.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $305M |
| Q3 2025 | $82.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $44.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $122.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $32M |
GPI spent $377M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 34% from the year before.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has more cash than debt.
GPI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2022 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2022 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2022 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2021 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q3 2021 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2021 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2021 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2020 | 2.3x | Moderate |
GPI's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.2 years a year ago.
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
GPI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 36.1 | Neutral |
GPI's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
GPI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | GPI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.1x | 18x | 55% below |
| PE % | 48 | 47 | 1 pt above |
GPI is trading at 8.1x earnings, a 55% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
GPI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $250.1 | 2.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $270.7 | 5% below |
| 50 week MA | $317.4 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $373.7 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $329.9 | 22% below |
GPI has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F has the edge over GPI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
GPI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $100.8 | $118.8 | +18% |
| 2021 | $118.8 | $188.0 | +58% |
| 2022 | $188.0 | $174.6 | -7.1% |
| 2023 | $174.6 | $304.7 | +75% |
| 2024 | $304.7 | $423.1 | +39% |
| 2025 | $423.1 | $407.6 | -3.7% |
| 2026 YTD | $407.6 | $257.3 | -37% |
GPI is down 37% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.