F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

GOOS

Canada Goose Holdings Inc.

55
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

GOOS has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

GOOS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

GOOS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x118x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x118x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$8.28—
Cheap23x$8.92+7.8%
Fair32x$12.21+48%
Expensive72x$27.34+230%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GOOS's PE is 22x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GOOS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GOOS, with profitability holding steady.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GOOS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GOOS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$10.78
Downside-23%$6.40

Calculated from the latest close: $8.28 on Nov 12.

GOOS trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

GOOS Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.36Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.41Q3 2024: $0.42Q4 2024: $0.51Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.14Q1 2026: $0.14Q2 2026: $0.38
Q3 2023: $0.36Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.42Q2 2024: $0.41Q3 2024: $0.42Q4 2024: $0.51Q1 2025: $0.67Q2 2025: $0.33Q3 2025: $0.18Q4 2025: $0.14Q1 2026: $0.14Q2 2026: $0.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.38+15%
Q1 2026$0.14-79%
Q4 2025$0.14-73%
Q3 2025$0.18-57%
Q2 2025$0.33-20%
Q1 2025$0.67+60%
Q4 2024$0.51+42%
Q3 2024$0.42+17%

GOOS has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

GOOS Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $198MQ4 2023: $429MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $84M
Q3 2023: $198MQ4 2023: $429MQ1 2024: $252MQ2 2024: $62MQ3 2024: $188MQ4 2024: $427MQ1 2025: $270MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $192MQ4 2025: $488MQ1 2026: $320MQ2 2026: $84M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$83.6M+10%
Q1 2026$319.5M+18%
Q4 2025$488.3M+14%
Q3 2025$191.6M+1.8%
Q2 2025$75.8M+22%
Q1 2025$270.4M+7.4%
Q4 2024$427.4M-0.3%
Q3 2024$188.3M-4.7%

GOOS has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F has the edge over GOOS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GOOS Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$58MQ4 2023: $234MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: −$102MQ3 2024: −$102MQ4 2024: $238MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: −$101MQ3 2025: −$88MQ4 2025: $225MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: −$137M
Q3 2023: −$58MQ4 2023: $234MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: −$102MQ3 2024: −$102MQ4 2024: $238MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: −$101MQ3 2025: −$88MQ4 2025: $225MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: −$137M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$137.4M-$36.1M
Q1 2026$45.8M-52%
Q4 2025$225.3M-5.2%
Q3 2025-$87.9M+$14.1M
Q2 2025-$101.3M+$703K
Q1 2025$94.7M+147%
Q4 2024$237.7M+1.5%
Q3 2024-$102.1M-$43.6M

GOOS has burned cash in most quarters: $46M over the past year, down 65% from the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

GOOS Total Shares

Q3 2023: 104MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 98MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 95MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 99MQ2 2026: 97M
Q3 2023: 104MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 97MQ2 2024: 97MQ3 2024: 98MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 98MQ2 2025: 98MQ3 2025: 95MQ4 2025: 99MQ1 2026: 99MQ2 2026: 97M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.9%-1.9M shares
1 year-0.9%-840K shares
3 years-6.2%-6.4M shares
5 years-12%-13.2M shares
Available history-12%-13.5M shares

GOOS has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over GOOS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GOOS Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 3.5xQ4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 2.3x
Q3 2023: 3.5xQ4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.1xQ2 2024: 2.8xQ3 2024: 2.9xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 2.3xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.3xModerate
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xHealthy
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.3xModerate
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20243.2xElevated
Q3 20242.9xModerate

GOOS's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

GOOS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic47.3Neutral

GOOS's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GOOS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricGOOSSector medianRelative
PE22x18x21% above
PE %104737 pts below

GOOS is trading at 22x earnings, a 21% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x, though its earnings don't support one.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

GOOS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.062.7% above
20 week MA$8.472.2% below
50 week MA$10.320% below
100 week MA$10.823% below
200 week MA$12.433% below

GOOS has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over GOOS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GOOS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$37.6$30.9-18%
2021$30.9$37.3+21%
2022$37.3$17.3-54%
2023$17.3$11.9-32%
2024$11.9$9.98-16%
2025$9.98$12.8+28%
2026 YTD$12.8$8.28-35%

GOOS has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 35% so far in 2026.

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