F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

FND

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.

61
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

FND has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

FND Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

FND's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FND PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x33x50x66x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x33x50x66x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$48.83—
Forward26x$48.83—
Cheap29x$65.06+33%
Fair39x$86.31+77%
Expensive53x$118+142%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FND's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 26x.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

F has the edge over FND on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

FND Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Stable
Stable
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect FND's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F has a better modeled risk to reward balance than FND, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

FND Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$63.32
Downside-23%$37.41

Calculated from the latest close: $48.83 on Nov 12.

FND trails F on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

FND Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.27Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $1.80Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $1.89Q2 2025: $1.95Q3 2025: $2.00Q4 2025: $1.92Q1 2026: $1.84Q2 2026: $2.15Q3 2026: $2.23Forward: $1.88
Q4 2023: $2.27Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $1.93Q3 2024: $1.80Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $1.89Q2 2025: $1.95Q3 2025: $2.00Q4 2025: $1.92Q1 2026: $1.84Q2 2026: $2.15Q3 2026: $2.23Forward: $1.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.88-16%
Q3 2026$2.23+12%
Q2 2026$2.15+10%
Q1 2026$1.84-2.6%
Q4 2025$1.92+1.1%
Q3 2025$2.00+11%
Q2 2025$1.95+1%
Q1 2025$1.89-8.7%
Q4 2024$1.90-16%

FND has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

FND Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+3%
Q2 2026$1.3B+3%
Q1 2026$1.2B-0.7%
Q4 2025$1.1B+2%
Q3 2025$1.2B+5.5%
Q2 2025$1.2B+7.1%
Q1 2025$1.2B+5.8%
Q4 2024$1.1B+5.7%

FND has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

FND Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $156M
Q4 2023: −$29MQ1 2024: $36MQ2 2024: $80MQ3 2024: $37MQ4 2024: $4MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $156M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$155.6M+536%
Q2 2026$96M+$105.9M
Q1 2026$45.8M+933%
Q4 2025$45.1M+1051%
Q3 2025$24.5M-33%
Q2 2025-$10M-112%
Q1 2025$4.4M-88%
Q4 2024$3.9M+$33.2M

FND generated $343M in free cash flow over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

FND Total Shares

Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 108MQ2 2024: 108MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 108MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 107M
Q4 2023: 108MQ1 2024: 108MQ2 2024: 108MQ3 2024: 108MQ4 2024: 108MQ1 2025: 108MQ2 2025: 108MQ3 2025: 108MQ4 2025: 108MQ1 2026: 109MQ2 2026: 108MQ3 2026: 107M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.3%-1.4M shares
1 year-1.6%-1.8M shares
3 years-1.2%-1.3M shares
5 years-0.7%-788K shares
Available history+1.7%+1.7M shares

FND has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over FND on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FND Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.3xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.0xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.0xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20250.0xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 20240.0xVery low

FND has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

FND Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.1Neutral
Stochastic31.8Neutral

FND's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FND PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFNDSector medianRelative
PE22x18x22% above
PE %24745 pts below

FND is trading at 22x earnings, a 22% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

FND Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.43.1% above
20 week MA$51.85.8% below
50 week MA$55.913% below
100 week MA$68.529% below
200 week MA$85.743% below

FND has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F has the edge over FND on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

FND Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.5$99.9+98%
2021$99.9$130.0+30%
2022$130.0$71.5-45%
2023$71.5$111.6+56%
2024$111.6$99.9-10%
2025$99.9$62.7-37%
2026 YTD$62.7$48.8-22%

FND has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 22% so far in 2026.

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