F

Ford Motor Company

52
Fundamentals40/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

F's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

FIVE

Five Below, Inc.

79
Fundamentals86/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

FIVE has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

F Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Strong

F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

FIVE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

FIVE's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

F PE Valuation

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FIVE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x78x104x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x78x104x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$247—
Cheap23x$252+2.1%
Forward24x$247—
Fair35x$390+58%
Expensive49x$546+121%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

FIVE's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 24x.

F Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

FIVE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
High

FIVE has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

F Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$15.58
Downside-23%$9.16

Calculated from the latest close: $11.90 on Nov 12.

F trails FIVE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

FIVE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$368.31
Downside-20%$197.11

Calculated from the latest close: $247.16 on Nov 12.

FIVE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than F, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

F Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
Q4 2023: $1.08Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.96Q3 2024: $0.88Q4 2024: $1.46Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $1.16Q4 2025: $-2.06Q1 2026: $-1.55Q2 2026: $-1.87Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.78
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.78—
Q3 2026-$1.97-270%
Q2 2026-$1.87-340%
Q1 2026-$1.55-224%
Q4 2025-$2.06-241%
Q3 2025$1.16+32%
Q2 2025$0.78-19%
Q1 2025$1.25+29%
Q4 2024$1.46+35%

F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

FIVE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.84Q1 2024: $5.42Q2 2024: $5.32Q3 2024: $5.08Q4 2024: $4.85Q1 2025: $4.59Q2 2025: $4.77Q3 2025: $4.94Q4 2025: $5.57Q1 2026: $6.47Q2 2026: $7.93Q3 2026: $11.15Forward: $10.31
Q4 2023: $4.84Q1 2024: $5.42Q2 2024: $5.32Q3 2024: $5.08Q4 2024: $4.85Q1 2025: $4.59Q2 2025: $4.77Q3 2025: $4.94Q4 2025: $5.57Q1 2026: $6.47Q2 2026: $7.93Q3 2026: $11.15Forward: $10.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.31-7.5%
Q3 2026$11.15+126%
Q2 2026$7.93+66%
Q1 2026$6.47+41%
Q4 2025$5.57+15%
Q3 2025$4.94-2.8%
Q2 2025$4.77-10%
Q1 2025$4.59-15%
Q4 2024$4.85+0.2%

FIVE has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

F Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
Q4 2023: $46BQ1 2024: $42.8BQ2 2024: $47.8BQ3 2024: $46.2BQ4 2024: $48.2BQ1 2025: $40.7BQ2 2025: $50.2BQ3 2025: $50.5BQ4 2025: $45.9BQ1 2026: $43.3BQ2 2026: $48.3BQ3 2026: $49.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$49.5B-2%
Q2 2026$48.3B-3.8%
Q1 2026$43.3B+6.4%
Q4 2025$45.9B-4.8%
Q3 2025$50.5B+9.4%
Q2 2025$50.2B+5%
Q1 2025$40.7B-5%
Q4 2024$48.2B+4.9%

F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

FIVE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $736MQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $812MQ3 2024: $830MQ4 2024: $844MQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $971MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $736MQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $812MQ3 2024: $830MQ4 2024: $844MQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $971MQ3 2025: $1BQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+23%
Q2 2026$1.3B+32%
Q1 2026$1.7B+24%
Q4 2025$1B+23%
Q3 2025$1B+24%
Q2 2025$970.5M+20%
Q1 2025$1.4B+4%
Q4 2024$843.7M+15%

FIVE has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: −$709MQ2 2024: $3.4BQ3 2024: $3.5BQ4 2024: $530MQ1 2025: $1.9BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $2BQ3 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.1B-40%
Q2 2026$2B-54%
Q1 2026-$1.1B-157%
Q4 2025$1.1B+108%
Q3 2025$5.3B+50%
Q2 2025$4.2B+24%
Q1 2025$1.9B+$2.6B
Q4 2024$530M+169%

F still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $5.1B over the past year.

FIVE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$193MQ1 2024: $305MQ2 2024: −$61MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: $311MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: −$133MQ1 2026: $400MQ2 2026: $190MQ3 2026: $142M
Q4 2023: −$193MQ1 2024: $305MQ2 2024: −$61MQ3 2024: −$32MQ4 2024: −$111MQ1 2025: $311MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $48MQ4 2025: −$133MQ1 2026: $400MQ2 2026: $190MQ3 2026: $142M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$142.3M+195%
Q2 2026$190M+97%
Q1 2026$400.1M+28%
Q4 2025-$133.2M-$22.2M
Q3 2025$48.3M+$80.6M
Q2 2025$96.5M+$157.9M
Q1 2025$311.4M+2.2%
Q4 2024-$111M+$81.9M

FIVE has the edge over F on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

F Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
Q4 2023: 4BQ1 2024: 4BQ2 2024: 4BQ3 2024: 4BQ4 2024: 4BQ1 2025: 4BQ2 2025: 4BQ3 2025: 4BQ4 2025: 4BQ1 2026: 4.1BQ2 2026: 4BQ3 2026: 4.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+89M shares
1 year+0.7%+28M shares
3 years+0.6%+26M shares
5 years+1%+40M shares
Available history+1.8%+72M shares

F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.

FIVE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 55MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55M
Q4 2023: 56MQ1 2024: 56MQ2 2024: 55MQ3 2024: 55MQ4 2024: 55MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 55MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 55M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-133K shares
1 year+0.2%+85.1K shares
3 years-0.6%-327K shares
5 years-1.5%-825K shares
Available history-1%-545K shares

FIVE has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

F Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
Q4 2023: -1.9xQ1 2024: -1.6xQ2 2024: -1.7xQ3 2024: -2.1xQ4 2024: -1.8xQ1 2025: -1.8xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.4xQ4 2025: -3.4xQ1 2026: -2.0xQ2 2026: -2.1xQ3 2026: -2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.8xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.8xNet Cash

F has the edge over FIVE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

FIVE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.6x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.8xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash

FIVE has more cash than debt.

F Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic19.6Oversold

F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

FIVE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.9Neutral
Stochastic66.1Neutral

FIVE's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFSector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

FIVE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricFIVESector medianRelative
PE22x18x23% above
PE %164731 pts below

FIVE is trading at 22x earnings, a 23% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

F Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.22.5% below
20 week MA$13.311% below
50 week MA$13.411% below
100 week MA$12.12% below
200 week MA$12.11.4% below

F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.

FIVE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$229.17.9% above
20 week MA$227.08.9% above
50 week MA$215.415% above
100 week MA$166.049% above
200 week MA$162.452% above

FIVE has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

F Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.36$8.86-5.3%
2021$8.86$20.3+129%
2022$20.3$11.4-44%
2023$11.4$12.2+7.3%
2024$12.2$10.0-18%
2025$10.0$13.3+33%
2026 YTD$13.3$11.9-11%

F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.

FIVE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$125.4$158.9+27%
2021$158.9$193.6+22%
2022$193.6$174.8-9.7%
2023$174.8$213.2+22%
2024$213.2$109.2-49%
2025$109.2$189.9+74%
2026 YTD$189.9$247.2+30%

FIVE has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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