EYE
National Vision Holdings, Inc.
EYE has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.
EYE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
EYE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
EYE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $18.57 | — |
| Current | 23x | $18.57 | — |
| Cheap | 28x | $22.52 | +21% |
| Fair | 50x | $40.68 | +119% |
| Expensive | 103x | $83.20 | +348% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EYE's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EYE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect EYE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over EYE on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
EYE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.16 | +44% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.81 | +$0.84 |
| Q2 2026 | $0.61 | +$0.79 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.57 | +$0.90 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.37 | +$0.73 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.03 | +$0.16 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.18 | +$0.84 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.33 | +$0.58 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.36 | +$0.48 |
EYE has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
EYE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $510.5M | +4.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $498.8M | +2.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $543.9M | +6.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $503.4M | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $487.3M | +7.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $486.4M | +7.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $510.3M | -5.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $437.3M | -14% |
EYE's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $511M last quarter, up 4.8% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.1% | +4.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.3% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.3% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3% | +7.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2% | +3.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 3.4% | +3.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.1% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8% | -3.2 points |
EYE has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over EYE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
EYE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.3M | +63% |
| Q2 2026 | -$14.1M | -133% |
| Q1 2026 | $44.1M | +267% |
| Q4 2025 | -$11.2M | -$9.5M |
| Q3 2025 | $30.3M | +647% |
| Q2 2025 | $42.4M | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | $12M | +202% |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.7M | +$11.3M |
EYE has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
EYE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -533K shares |
| 1 year | -1.4% | -1.1M shares |
| 3 years | +2.4% | +1.9M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -16.4M shares |
| Available history | -2.1% | -1.7M shares |
EYE has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4M |
| Q2 2026 | $20.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $10.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $650,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $876,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $55,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $1.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $273,000 |
EYE spent $53M buying back its own shares over the past year, more than ten times what it spent the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
EYE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q4 2024 | 3.2x | Elevated |
EYE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
EYE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.1 | Neutral |
EYE's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
EYE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EYE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23x | 18x | 27% above |
| PE % | 7 | 47 | 40 pts below |
EYE is trading at 23x earnings, a 27% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EYE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $17.4 | 7% above |
| 20 week MA | $18.4 | 0.7% above |
| 50 week MA | $22.0 | 16% below |
| 100 week MA | $20.5 | 9.5% below |
| 200 week MA | $19.7 | 5.6% below |
EYE has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
EYE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $33.1 | $47.3 | +43% |
| 2021 | $47.3 | $47.8 | +1.1% |
| 2022 | $47.8 | $38.7 | -19% |
| 2023 | $38.7 | $20.9 | -46% |
| 2024 | $20.9 | $10.6 | -49% |
| 2025 | $10.6 | $28.0 | +165% |
| 2026 YTD | $28.0 | $18.6 | -34% |
EYE has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.