EYE

National Vision Holdings, Inc.

70
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

EYE has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

EYE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

EYE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

EYE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE334x667x1001x1334x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE334x667x1001x1334x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$18.57—
Current23x$18.57—
Cheap28x$22.52+21%
Fair50x$40.68+119%
Expensive103x$83.20+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EYE's PE is in its cheap range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EYE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect EYE's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EYE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$28.23
Downside-19%$15.04

Calculated from the latest close: $18.57 on Nov 12.

EYE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails EYE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EYE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.84Q1 2024: $-0.91Q2 2024: $-1.02Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.36Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.03Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.61Q4 2026: $0.81Forward: $1.16
Q4 2023: $-0.84Q1 2024: $-0.91Q2 2024: $-1.02Q3 2024: $-0.19Q4 2024: $-0.36Q1 2025: $-0.33Q2 2025: $-0.18Q3 2025: $-0.03Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.57Q3 2026: $0.61Q4 2026: $0.81Forward: $1.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.16+44%
Q3 2026$0.81+$0.84
Q2 2026$0.61+$0.79
Q1 2026$0.57+$0.90
Q4 2025$0.37+$0.73
Q3 2025-$0.03+$0.16
Q2 2025-$0.18+$0.84
Q1 2025-$0.33+$0.58
Q4 2024-$0.36+$0.48

EYE has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

EYE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $506MQ1 2024: $543MQ2 2024: $452MQ3 2024: $452MQ4 2024: $437MQ1 2025: $510MQ2 2025: $486MQ3 2025: $487MQ1 2026: $503MQ2 2026: $544MQ3 2026: $499MQ4 2026: $511M
Q4 2023: $506MQ1 2024: $543MQ2 2024: $452MQ3 2024: $452MQ4 2024: $437MQ1 2025: $510MQ2 2025: $486MQ3 2025: $487MQ1 2026: $503MQ2 2026: $544MQ3 2026: $499MQ4 2026: $511M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$510.5M+4.8%
Q2 2026$498.8M+2.5%
Q1 2026$543.9M+6.6%
Q4 2025$503.4M+15%
Q3 2025$487.3M+7.9%
Q2 2025$486.4M+7.7%
Q1 2025$510.3M-5.9%
Q4 2024$437.3M-14%

EYE's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $511M last quarter, up 4.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over EYE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EYE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: $30MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: −$14MQ4 2026: $49M
Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: −$2MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $42MQ3 2025: $30MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: −$14MQ4 2026: $49M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$49.3M+63%
Q2 2026-$14.1M-133%
Q1 2026$44.1M+267%
Q4 2025-$11.2M-$9.5M
Q3 2025$30.3M+647%
Q2 2025$42.4M+33%
Q1 2025$12M+202%
Q4 2024-$1.7M+$11.3M

EYE has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

EYE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 81MQ3 2026: 81MQ4 2026: 80M
Q4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 79MQ4 2024: 79MQ1 2025: 79MQ2 2025: 80MQ3 2025: 81MQ1 2026: 81MQ2 2026: 81MQ3 2026: 81MQ4 2026: 80M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-533K shares
1 year-1.4%-1.1M shares
3 years+2.4%+1.9M shares
5 years-17%-16.4M shares
Available history-2.1%-1.7M shares

EYE has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

EYE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.7xQ1 2024: 7.1xQ2 2024: 8.2xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.1xQ4 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 5.7xQ1 2024: 7.1xQ2 2024: 8.2xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 1.1xQ4 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20261.1xHealthy
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20252.2xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.2xElevated

EYE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

EYE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.6Neutral
Stochastic33.1Neutral

EYE's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

EYE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricEYESector medianRelative
PE23x18x27% above
PE %74740 pts below

EYE is trading at 23x earnings, a 27% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EYE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.47% above
20 week MA$18.40.7% above
50 week MA$22.016% below
100 week MA$20.59.5% below
200 week MA$19.75.6% below

EYE has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

EYE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.1$47.3+43%
2021$47.3$47.8+1.1%
2022$47.8$38.7-19%
2023$38.7$20.9-46%
2024$20.9$10.6-49%
2025$10.6$28.0+165%
2026 YTD$28.0$18.6-34%

EYE has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key