EXTR

Extreme Networks, Inc.

68
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

EXTR offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over EXTR overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

EXTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

EXTR's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

EXTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE148x296x444x592x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE148x296x444x592x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$27.18—
Cheap26x$10.05-63%
Fair56x$21.70-20%
Current70x$27.18—
Expensive269x$105+286%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EXTR's PE is in its fair range at 70x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over EXTR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EXTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

EXTR has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

EXTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$39.15
Downside-17%$22.54

Calculated from the latest close: $27.18 on Nov 12.

EXTR trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EXTR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EXTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.60Q1 2024: $-0.07Q2 2024: $-0.66Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $-0.39Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.39Forward: $1.39
Q4 2023: $0.60Q1 2024: $-0.07Q2 2024: $-0.66Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-0.92Q1 2025: $-0.39Q2 2025: $-0.06Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $0.11Q2 2026: $0.31Q3 2026: $0.39Forward: $1.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.39+258%
Q3 2026$0.39+550%
Q2 2026$0.31+$0.37
Q1 2026$0.11+$0.50
Q4 2025$0.06+$0.98
Q3 2025$0.06+$1.01
Q2 2025-$0.06+$0.60
Q1 2025-$0.39-$0.32
Q4 2024-$0.92-253%

EXTR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.39 over the past year, against $0.70 in late 2023.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over EXTR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EXTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $257MQ3 2024: $269MQ4 2024: $279MQ1 2025: $285MQ2 2025: $307MQ3 2025: $310MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $317MQ2 2026: $339MQ3 2026: $341M
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $211MQ2 2024: $257MQ3 2024: $269MQ4 2024: $279MQ1 2025: $285MQ2 2025: $307MQ3 2025: $310MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $317MQ2 2026: $339MQ3 2026: $341M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$341.1M+9.9%
Q2 2026$338.5M+10%
Q1 2026$316.9M+11%
Q4 2025$317.9M+14%
Q3 2025$310.2M+15%
Q2 2025$307M+20%
Q1 2025$284.5M+35%
Q4 2024$279.4M-5.7%

EXTR's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $341M last quarter, up 9.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over EXTR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EXTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$74MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $39M
Q4 2023: $29MQ1 2024: −$74MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $75MQ3 2025: −$21MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $65MQ3 2026: $39M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$38.7M+$59.5M
Q2 2026$65.3M-13%
Q1 2026$7.8M-68%
Q4 2025$43M+167%
Q3 2025-$20.9M-279%
Q2 2025$75.3M+584%
Q1 2025$24.2M+$97.8M
Q4 2024$16.1M-44%

EXTR has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

EXTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 129MQ2 2024: 129MQ3 2024: 131MQ4 2024: 134MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 135MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 134MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 135M
Q4 2023: 132MQ1 2024: 129MQ2 2024: 129MQ3 2024: 131MQ4 2024: 134MQ1 2025: 135MQ2 2025: 132MQ3 2025: 135MQ4 2025: 135MQ1 2026: 134MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 135M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-287K shares
1 year-0.3%-388K shares
3 years+0.9%+1.2M shares
5 years+1.1%+1.5M shares
Available history+13%+15.1M shares

EXTR has 135M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

EXTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 20240.9xVery low
Q4 2023-0.2xNet Cash

EXTR has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

EXTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.7Neutral
Stochastic48.5Neutral

EXTR's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

EXTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricEXTRSector medianRelative
PE70x28x150% above
PE %643529 pts above

EXTR is trading at 70x earnings, a 150% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT has the edge over EXTR on valuation relative to its sector.

EXTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.317% above
20 week MA$25.08.7% above
50 week MA$21.526% above
100 week MA$19.341% above
200 week MA$18.448% above

EXTR has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.

EXTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.37$7.00-5%
2021$7.00$15.0+114%
2022$15.0$18.5+23%
2023$18.5$17.6-4.4%
2024$17.6$17.1-3.1%
2025$17.1$16.9-1.2%
2026 YTD$16.9$27.2+61%

EXTR has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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