EXOD

Exodus Movement, Inc.

41
Fundamentals15/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

EXOD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over EXOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

EXOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Weak
Strong

EXOD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

EXOD PE Valuation

EXOD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

EXOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

EXOD has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

EXOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$8.69
Downside-44%$2.70

Calculated from the latest close: $4.83 on Nov 12.

EXOD trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EXOD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

EXOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $11.61Q2 2024: $10.03Q3 2024: $10.17Q4 2024: $12.40Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.83Q4 2025: $-1.53Q1 2026: $-1.26Q2 2026: $-3.00Q3 2026: $-3.80
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $11.61Q2 2024: $10.03Q3 2024: $10.17Q4 2024: $12.40Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.83Q4 2025: $-1.53Q1 2026: $-1.26Q2 2026: $-3.00Q3 2026: $-3.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.80-234%
Q2 2026-$3.00-224%
Q1 2026-$1.26-$1.04
Q4 2025-$1.53-112%
Q3 2025$2.83-72%
Q2 2025$2.42-76%
Q1 2025-$0.22-102%
Q4 2024$12.40+3000%

EXOD has swung to a loss: it lost $3.80 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over EXOD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

EXOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$32.5M+7.2%
Q2 2026$26.2M+1.6%
Q1 2026$22.7M-37%
Q4 2025$29.4M-36%
Q3 2025$30.3M+51%
Q2 2025$25.8M+16%
Q1 2025$36M+24%
Q4 2024$46M+149%

EXOD's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $33M last quarter, up 7.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over EXOD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EXOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: $300,000Q2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$50MQ3 2026: −$26M
Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: $300,000Q2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$50MQ3 2026: −$26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$26.3M-$21.4M
Q2 2026-$49.6M-$44.2M
Q1 2026-$2.6M+$3.6M
Q4 2025-$9.1M-$3.9M
Q3 2025-$4.8M+$78K
Q2 2025-$5.4M-$3M
Q1 2025-$6.2M-2172%
Q4 2024-$5.3M-$3M

EXOD has burned cash in eight of the last eight quarters: −$88M over the past year, against −$22M the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over EXOD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

EXOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.6%+493K shares
1 year-5.5%-1.8M shares
3 years+18%+4.6M shares
5 years+21%+5.3M shares
Available history+34%+7.8M shares

EXOD has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

EXOD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -5.7x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -5.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026-5.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.4xNet Cash

EXOD has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

EXOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.4Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

EXOD's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

EXOD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricEXODSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

EXOD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

EXOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.7716% below
20 week MA$6.0420% below
50 week MA$8.4543% below
100 week MA$21.577% below
200 week MA$14.767% below

EXOD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has the edge over EXOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

EXOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$25.3$21.0-17%
2022$21.0$1.25-94%
2023$1.25$2.30+84%
2024$2.30$40.6+1664%
2025$40.6$15.1-63%
2026 YTD$15.1$4.83-68%

EXOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1664% in 2024 to −94% in 2022. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over EXOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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