EXOD

Exodus Movement, Inc.

41
Fundamentals15/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

EXOD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC has the edge over EXOD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

EXOD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Weak
Strong

EXOD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

EXOD PE Valuation

EXOD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EXOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect EXOD's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for INTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

EXOD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$8.69
Downside-44%$2.70

Calculated from the latest close: $4.83 on Nov 12.

EXOD trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EXOD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EXOD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $11.61Q2 2024: $10.03Q3 2024: $10.17Q4 2024: $12.40Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.83Q4 2025: $-1.53Q1 2026: $-1.26Q2 2026: $-3.00Q3 2026: $-3.80
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $11.61Q2 2024: $10.03Q3 2024: $10.17Q4 2024: $12.40Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $2.42Q3 2025: $2.83Q4 2025: $-1.53Q1 2026: $-1.26Q2 2026: $-3.00Q3 2026: $-3.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.80-234%
Q2 2026-$3.00-224%
Q1 2026-$1.26-$1.04
Q4 2025-$1.53-112%
Q3 2025$2.83-72%
Q2 2025$2.42-76%
Q1 2025-$0.22-102%
Q4 2024$12.40+3000%

EXOD has swung to a loss: it lost $3.80 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has the edge over EXOD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EXOD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $33M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: $26MQ3 2026: $33M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$32.5M+7.2%
Q2 2026$26.2M+1.6%
Q1 2026$22.7M-37%
Q4 2025$29.4M-36%
Q3 2025$30.3M+51%
Q2 2025$25.8M+16%
Q1 2025$36M+24%
Q4 2024$46M+149%

EXOD has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

EXOD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: $300,000Q2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$50MQ3 2026: −$26M
Q4 2023: −$2MQ1 2024: $300,000Q2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$6MQ2 2025: −$5MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: −$50MQ3 2026: −$26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$26.3M-$21.4M
Q2 2026-$49.6M-$44.2M
Q1 2026-$2.6M+$3.6M
Q4 2025-$9.1M-$3.9M
Q3 2025-$4.8M+$78K
Q2 2025-$5.4M-$3M
Q1 2025-$6.2M-2172%
Q4 2024-$5.3M-$3M

EXOD has burned cash in eight of the last eight quarters: −$88M over the past year, against −$22M the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over EXOD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

EXOD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 5MQ2 2024: 6MQ3 2024: 7MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.6%+493K shares
1 year-5.5%-1.8M shares
3 years+18%+4.6M shares
5 years+21%+5.3M shares
Available history+34%+7.8M shares

EXOD has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

EXOD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -5.7x
Q4 2023: -0.8xQ1 2024: -0.3xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.3xQ1 2025: -1.4xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -5.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2026-5.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.4xNet Cash

EXOD has more cash than debt.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

EXOD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.4Neutral
Stochastic9.5Oversold

EXOD's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

EXOD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricEXODSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

EXOD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EXOD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.7716% below
20 week MA$6.0420% below
50 week MA$8.4543% below
100 week MA$21.577% below
200 week MA$14.767% below

EXOD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has the edge over EXOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

EXOD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$25.3$21.0-17%
2022$21.0$1.25-94%
2023$1.25$2.30+84%
2024$2.30$40.6+1664%
2025$40.6$15.1-63%
2026 YTD$15.1$4.83-68%

EXOD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1664% in 2024 to −94% in 2022. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over EXOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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