EXLS

ExlService Holdings, Inc.

71
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

EXLS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over EXLS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

EXLS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

EXLS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

EXLS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$43.10—
Current26x$43.10—
Cheap27x$45.36+5.2%
Fair34x$56.95+32%
Expensive41x$68.45+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EXLS's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over EXLS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

EXLS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

EXLS has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

EXLS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$53.06
Downside-15%$36.68

Calculated from the latest close: $43.10 on Nov 12.

EXLS trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EXLS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

EXLS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.10Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $1.54Q1 2026: $1.57Q2 2026: $1.59Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $2.54
Q4 2023: $1.10Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $1.54Q1 2026: $1.57Q2 2026: $1.59Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $2.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.54+51%
Q3 2026$1.68+14%
Q2 2026$1.59+10%
Q1 2026$1.57+19%
Q4 2025$1.54+27%
Q3 2025$1.47+28%
Q2 2025$1.44+33%
Q1 2025$1.32+21%
Q4 2024$1.21+10%

EXLS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.68 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over EXLS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EXLS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $437MQ2 2024: $448MQ3 2024: $472MQ4 2024: $481MQ1 2025: $501MQ2 2025: $514MQ3 2025: $530MQ4 2025: $543MQ1 2026: $570MQ2 2026: $595MQ3 2026: $634M
Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $437MQ2 2024: $448MQ3 2024: $472MQ4 2024: $481MQ1 2025: $501MQ2 2025: $514MQ3 2025: $530MQ4 2025: $543MQ1 2026: $570MQ2 2026: $595MQ3 2026: $634M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$634M+20%
Q2 2026$594.8M+16%
Q1 2026$570.4M+14%
Q4 2025$542.6M+13%
Q3 2025$529.6M+12%
Q2 2025$514.5M+15%
Q1 2025$501M+15%
Q4 2024$481.4M+16%

EXLS's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $634M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over EXLS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

EXLS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $73MQ3 2026: $103M
Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $73MQ3 2026: $103M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$102.5M-3.6%
Q2 2026$73.4M-23%
Q1 2026-$11.2M-$1.5M
Q4 2025$106.5M+12%
Q3 2025$106.4M+9.3%
Q2 2025$95M+51%
Q1 2025-$9.7M+$23.4M
Q4 2024$95.3M+41%

EXLS generated $271M in free cash flow over the past year, down 5.5% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over EXLS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EXLS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 163MQ4 2024: 164MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 162MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 153MQ3 2026: 153M
Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 163MQ4 2024: 164MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 162MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 153MQ3 2026: 153M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-262K shares
1 year-5.7%-9.1M shares
3 years-9%-15.1M shares
5 years-11%-19M shares
Available history-12%-20.9M shares

EXLS has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

EXLS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

EXLS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA has the edge over EXLS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

EXLS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.3Neutral
Stochastic89.5Overbought

EXLS's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

EXLS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricEXLSSector medianRelative
PE26x28x7.9% below
PE %123523 pts below

EXLS is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over EXLS on valuation relative to its sector.

EXLS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.68.8% above
20 week MA$35.721% above
50 week MA$34.425% above
100 week MA$39.59.2% above
200 week MA$36.020% above

EXLS has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

EXLS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.0$17.2+24%
2021$17.2$28.0+62%
2022$28.0$34.5+23%
2023$34.5$30.9-11%
2024$30.9$44.5+44%
2025$44.5$43.3-2.8%
2026 YTD$43.3$43.1-0.5%

EXLS has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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