EXLS
ExlService Holdings, Inc.
EXLS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over EXLS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
EXLS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
EXLS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
EXLS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 17x | $43.10 | — |
| Current | 26x | $43.10 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $45.36 | +5.2% |
| Fair | 34x | $56.95 | +32% |
| Expensive | 41x | $68.45 | +59% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EXLS's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over EXLS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
EXLS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EXLS, with profitability holding steady.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
EXLS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.54 | +51% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.68 | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.59 | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.57 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.54 | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.47 | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.44 | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.32 | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.21 | +10% |
EXLS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $1.68 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year every quarter since late 2020.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over EXLS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
EXLS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $634M | +20% |
| Q2 2026 | $594.8M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $570.4M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $542.6M | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $529.6M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $514.5M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $501M | +15% |
| Q4 2024 | $481.4M | +16% |
EXLS's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $634M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 15% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 16% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | +2.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +1.7 points |
EXLS's operating margin was 14% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over EXLS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over EXLS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
EXLS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $102.5M | -3.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $73.4M | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.2M | -$1.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $106.5M | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $106.4M | +9.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $95M | +51% |
| Q1 2025 | -$9.7M | +$23.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $95.3M | +41% |
EXLS has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
EXLS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -262K shares |
| 1 year | -5.7% | -9.1M shares |
| 3 years | -9% | -15.1M shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -19M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -20.9M shares |
EXLS has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $20.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $166M |
| Q4 2025 | $109.6M |
| Q3 2025 | $159.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $41.7M |
| Q1 2025 | $18M |
| Q4 2024 | $12M |
EXLS spent $322M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 39% from the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
EXLS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
EXLS's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over EXLS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EXLS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 69.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 89.5 | Overbought |
EXLS's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
EXLS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | EXLS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 28x | 7.9% below |
| PE % | 12 | 35 | 23 pts below |
EXLS has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
EXLS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $39.6 | 8.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $35.7 | 21% above |
| 50 week MA | $34.4 | 25% above |
| 100 week MA | $39.5 | 9.2% above |
| 200 week MA | $36.0 | 20% above |
EXLS has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
EXLS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $14.0 | $17.2 | +24% |
| 2021 | $17.2 | $28.0 | +62% |
| 2022 | $28.0 | $34.5 | +23% |
| 2023 | $34.5 | $30.9 | -11% |
| 2024 | $30.9 | $44.5 | +44% |
| 2025 | $44.5 | $43.3 | -2.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $43.3 | $43.1 | -0.5% |
EXLS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over EXLS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.