EXLS

ExlService Holdings, Inc.

71
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation70/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

EXLS has the edge over INTC overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

INTC

Intel Corporation

65
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

INTC offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

EXLS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

EXLS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

INTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

INTC's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is under pressure.

EXLS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$43.10—
Current26x$43.10—
Cheap27x$45.36+5.2%
Fair34x$56.95+32%
Expensive41x$68.45+59%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

EXLS's PE is in its cheap range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

INTC PE Valuation

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EXLS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EXLS, with profitability holding steady.

INTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Low

INTC has the edge over EXLS on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

EXLS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$53.06
Downside-15%$36.68

Calculated from the latest close: $43.10 on Nov 12.

EXLS trails INTC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

INTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+76%$107.41
Downside-42%$35.74

Calculated from the latest close: $61.20 on Nov 12.

INTC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than EXLS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

EXLS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.10Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $1.54Q1 2026: $1.57Q2 2026: $1.59Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $2.54
Q4 2023: $1.10Q1 2024: $1.09Q2 2024: $1.08Q3 2024: $1.15Q4 2024: $1.21Q1 2025: $1.32Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.47Q4 2025: $1.54Q1 2026: $1.57Q2 2026: $1.59Q3 2026: $1.68Forward: $2.54
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.54+51%
Q3 2026$1.68+14%
Q2 2026$1.59+10%
Q1 2026$1.57+19%
Q4 2025$1.54+27%
Q3 2025$1.47+28%
Q2 2025$1.44+33%
Q1 2025$1.32+21%
Q4 2024$1.21+10%

EXLS has the edge over INTC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

INTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.97Q2 2024: $0.24Q3 2024: $-3.71Q4 2024: $-4.38Q1 2025: $-4.48Q2 2025: $-4.77Q3 2025: $0.01Q4 2025: $-0.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-2.09Q3 2026: $-2.39Forward: $1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.41—
Q3 2026-$2.39-24000%
Q2 2026-$2.09+$2.68
Q1 2026-$0.60+$3.88
Q4 2025-$0.06+$4.32
Q3 2025$0.01+$3.72
Q2 2025-$4.77-2088%
Q1 2025-$4.48-562%
Q4 2024-$4.38-1195%

INTC has swung to a loss: it lost $2.39 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

EXLS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $437MQ2 2024: $448MQ3 2024: $472MQ4 2024: $481MQ1 2025: $501MQ2 2025: $514MQ3 2025: $530MQ4 2025: $543MQ1 2026: $570MQ2 2026: $595MQ3 2026: $634M
Q4 2023: $414MQ1 2024: $437MQ2 2024: $448MQ3 2024: $472MQ4 2024: $481MQ1 2025: $501MQ2 2025: $514MQ3 2025: $530MQ4 2025: $543MQ1 2026: $570MQ2 2026: $595MQ3 2026: $634M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$634M+20%
Q2 2026$594.8M+16%
Q1 2026$570.4M+14%
Q4 2025$542.6M+13%
Q3 2025$529.6M+12%
Q2 2025$514.5M+15%
Q1 2025$501M+15%
Q4 2024$481.4M+16%

EXLS has the edge over INTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

INTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.7BQ2 2024: $12.8BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.3BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $12.9BQ3 2025: $13.7BQ4 2025: $13.7BQ1 2026: $13.6BQ2 2026: $16.1BQ3 2026: $16.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$16.5B+21%
Q2 2026$16.1B+25%
Q1 2026$13.6B+7.2%
Q4 2025$13.7B-4.1%
Q3 2025$13.7B+2.8%
Q2 2025$12.9B+0.2%
Q1 2025$12.7B-0.4%
Q4 2024$14.3B-7.4%

INTC's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $16.5B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

EXLS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $73MQ3 2026: $103M
Q4 2023: $67MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $63MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $95MQ1 2025: −$10MQ2 2025: $95MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: $107MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: $73MQ3 2026: $103M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$102.5M-3.6%
Q2 2026$73.4M-23%
Q1 2026-$11.2M-$1.5M
Q4 2025$106.5M+12%
Q3 2025$106.4M+9.3%
Q2 2025$95M+51%
Q1 2025-$9.7M+$23.4M
Q4 2024$95.3M+41%

EXLS generated $271M in free cash flow over the past year, down 5.5% from the year before.

INTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
Q4 2023: −$2.1BQ1 2024: −$7.2BQ2 2024: −$3.4BQ3 2024: −$2.4BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: −$4.4BQ2 2025: −$1.5BQ3 2025: $121MQ4 2025: $800MQ1 2026: −$2.5BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.1B+774%
Q2 2026$4.5B+$6B
Q1 2026-$2.5B+$1.8B
Q4 2025$800M+$3.5B
Q3 2025$121M+$2.5B
Q2 2025-$1.5B+$1.9B
Q1 2025-$4.4B+$2.8B
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$597M

INTC has the edge over EXLS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

EXLS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 163MQ4 2024: 164MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 162MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 153MQ3 2026: 153M
Q4 2023: 168MQ1 2024: 167MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 163MQ4 2024: 164MQ1 2025: 165MQ2 2025: 164MQ3 2025: 162MQ4 2025: 162MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 153MQ3 2026: 153M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-262K shares
1 year-5.7%-9.1M shares
3 years-9%-15.1M shares
5 years-11%-19M shares
Available history-12%-20.9M shares

EXLS has the edge over INTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

INTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
Q4 2023: 4.2BQ1 2024: 4.2BQ2 2024: 4.3BQ3 2024: 4.3BQ4 2024: 4.3BQ1 2025: 4.3BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.5BQ4 2025: 4.5BQ1 2026: 5.1BQ2 2026: 5.1BQ3 2026: 5.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+4%+203M shares
1 year+17%+776M shares
3 years+25%+1.1B shares
5 years+30%+1.2B shares
Available history+19%+834M shares

INTC has 5.3B diluted shares, up 17% from a year ago.

EXLS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

EXLS has the edge over INTC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

INTC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
Q4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 4.4xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 23.8xQ1 2025: 69.6xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.0xHealthy
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q1 202569.6xHigh
Q3 202423.8xHigh
Q2 20244.3xHigh

INTC's net debt is about 2.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.0 years a year ago.

EXLS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI69.3Neutral
Stochastic89.5Overbought

EXLS's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).

INTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.1Neutral
Stochastic7.7Oversold

INTC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

EXLS PE vs Technology Sector

MetricEXLSSector medianRelative
PE26x28x7.9% below
PE %123523 pts below

EXLS is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

INTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricINTCSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

INTC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

EXLS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.68.8% above
20 week MA$35.721% above
50 week MA$34.425% above
100 week MA$39.59.2% above
200 week MA$36.020% above

EXLS has the edge over INTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

INTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.431% below
20 week MA$95.336% below
50 week MA$79.323% below
100 week MA$52.118% above
200 week MA$42.544% above

INTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 44% above its 200-week average.

EXLS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.0$17.2+24%
2021$17.2$28.0+62%
2022$28.0$34.5+23%
2023$34.5$30.9-11%
2024$30.9$44.5+44%
2025$44.5$43.3-2.8%
2026 YTD$43.3$43.1-0.5%

EXLS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's roughly flat so far in 2026.

INTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$60.1$47.1-22%
2021$47.1$51.3+9%
2022$51.3$26.1-49%
2023$26.1$50.3+93%
2024$50.3$20.3-60%
2025$20.3$36.2+78%
2026 YTD$36.2$61.2+69%

INTC has the edge over EXLS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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